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EurOil                                        COMMENTARY                                               EurOil




































       LNG trade booms ahead of winter







      The global LNG trade is booming ahead of the Northern Hemisphere winter, with Asia’s

      leading buyers ramping up deliveries, in competition with Europe



        GLOBAL           THE global LNG trade is booming ahead of the  start of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.
                         Northern Hemisphere winter. The leading buy-  The y/y increase is not surprising given that
       WHAT:             ers in the world – China, Japan and South Korea  a trade war had kicked off between the US and
       Asian imports of LNG are   – are ramping up imports this month, while in  China under former US President Donald
       booming along with US   the US, LNG exports have reached record highs.  Trump. A deal aimed at reviving US-China
       exports of the super-  The boom in US LNG exports provided some  energy trade was struck in January 2020. Beijing
       chilled fuel.     relief to buyers in Europe, but they face compe-  then started awarding tariff waivers to importers
                         tition from Asia as they scramble to replenish  of US LNG in the spring as China reopened after
       WHY:              gas stockpiles ahead of the winter. Indeed, major  being the first country to lock down in response
       Demand has surged   buyers in Asia are reported to be receiving more  to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic,
       as countries reopen   cargoes than Europe.             allowing LNG trade between the two countries
       following pandemic-                                    to resume.
       related lockdowns while   On the rise                    According to the US Energy Information
       anticipating additional   According to commodity consultancy Kpler,  Administration (EIA), the US began exporting
       consumption over the   China, Japan and South Korea are forecast to  LNG to China again in March 2020, after a year-
       winter.           receive a combined 17.77mn tonnes of LNG in  long pause, and trade between the two hit an
                         November, up from 15.41mn tonnes in Octo-  annual high of 214.4bn cubic feet (6.1bn cubic
       WHAT NEXT:        ber. This will be the highest level since 19.01mn  metres) that year. Monthly US LNG exports to
       European imports of LNG   tonnes of the fuel were imported across the three  China have since hit a new record high of 51.7
       have not been as high,   countries in February.        bcf (1.5 bcm) in August 2021, the latest month
       but this could change   The increase in shipments to the Asian coun-  for which data are available.
       depending on how certain   tries is also backed up by port and vessel-track-  Chinese firms have also played a prominent
       trends play out.  ing data compiled by Refinitiv, which puts their  role in numerous LNG offtake deals with US pro-
                         November imports at 16.62mn tonnes, up from  ducers of the fuel that have been announced in
                         15.13mn tonnes in October.           recent weeks. The most recent of these came this
                           In China, imports of US LNG have more than  week, when Cheniere Energy said it had struck
                         tripled year on year over the first three quarters  a 20-year deal to supply LNG to China’s Foran
                         of 2021 as the Asian country moves to reduce  Energy Group. Cheniere has also recently made
                         its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions even as its  deals with ENN Natural Gas and Sinochem,
                         economy recovers from the lockdowns at the  while Venture Global LNG has announced deals



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