Page 5 - AfrElec Week 21 2021
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AfrElec                                      COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec


















                         information. It is also unknown if emissions  use until 2026, when consumption would begin
                         are monitored at all. From old studies by the  to fall.
                         state-owned energy company, it is known that   China’s policy is to wind down its coal con-
                         unfiltered SO2 emission concentrations of old  sumption during this slow transition to net zero.
                         Turkish coal plants are between 25-60 times  Coal would now longer be the major source of
                         higher than the current limits; even the ones  power, but would provide grid flexibility, relia-
                         with desulphurization do not comply with the  bility and as a major source of employment.
                         new emission concentration limits. This gap   India is even more coal reliant than China,
                         between regulation and practice is reflected in  the fuel accounting for 71% of the country’s gen-
                         total SO2 emission statistics of the country.  eration in 2020, Ember said. Then came China
                           Turkey closed down some of its coal power  with 61%, slightly more that Beijing’s own fig-
                         plants at the beginning of 2020 due to being  ures, with Indonesia next on 60%, Australia on
                         noncompliant with the emission limits. How-  54%, South Korea on 38% and Japan on 29%.
                         ever, just a couple of months after this decision,   In a nutshell, Asia is perhaps the most
                         these power plants received temporary permis-  exposed global region to coal, and is well behind
                         sion to operate following the Ministry of Envi-  such regions as the EU is pushing reducing their
                         ronment and Urbanization announcement.  reliance on it.
                         Currently they are all operational and included
                         in the official installed capacity statistics.  Africa
                           Recently in Turkey only the Çan 18 Mart  The other major coal economy is South Africa,
                         lignite power plant was upgraded with a proper  where coal accounted for 86% of power supply in
                         FGD. The 300-MW lignite power plant paid  2020, making it the most coal reliant power sec-
                         $for desulphurization.               tor in the world. Renewables currently accounts
                                                              for just 6%
                         Asia
                         China is by far the world’s largest consumer of   This an inheritance from the apartheid era,
                         coal for power generation, accounting for 53% of  when the government could invest in cheap
                         total global coal generation in 2020, according to  domestic coal production in order to fuel indus-
                         the think tank Ember.                trial expansion. However, the country’s energy
                                                              sector has failed to modernise since the end of
                           The government says that 72% of China’s  apartheid in the early 1990s.
                         power came from coal in 2005, falling to 56.8%   This has left an investment-starved and
                         in 2020, with a target of 56% for 2021.  virtually bankrupt Eskom, the state-owned
                           However, in absolute terms, China coal gen-  monopoly, running a power sector than can-
                         eration acutely grew by 18% between 2015 and  not adapt to new renewable technology or even
                         2020, and by 1.7% between 2019 and 2020, the  maintain reliable supplies to industrial and
                         only country in the world to see growth in coal  domestic customers
                         generation in 2020.                    A lack of maintenance at older coal plants
                           However, although this share is falling, prin-  has led to rolling power cuts. This has acutely
                         cipally to meet Beijing’s target of net zero by  affected industry in South Africa, and slowed
                         2060, the country is still a major builder of new  growth and socio-economic development.
                         power plants                           Power consumption has actually fallen
                           It commissioned 38.4 GW of new coal-fired  by 5.4% since 2015, unique for a developing
                         power in 2020, compared to 11.9 GW turned  economy,
                         on in the rest of the world, according to Global   Eskom now had debts totalling ZAR450bn
                         Energy Monitor (GEM). Meanwhile, the coun-  ($25bn), and the company’s power purchase
                         try currently has 247GW of coal power capacity  agreements with a range of private mining com-
                         under development.                   panies have recently been the focus of legal cases
                           Indeed, President Xi Jinping recently  highlighting corruption dating back to the pres-
                         announced at US President Joe Biden’s Virtual  idency of former President Jacob Zuma.
                         climate Summit that China’s carbon emissions   When South African President Cyril Rama-
                         would peak before 2030 and the country should  phosa took office, he overhauled Eskom’s
                         attain carbon neutrality by 2060.    management and board, as well as putting in a
                           Xi said that Beijing would follow a policy of  stronger regime of oversight.
                         strictly controlling, while still increasing, coal   As well rooting out corruption and cutting



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