Page 4 - DMEA Week 27 2022
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DMEA                                          COMMENTARY                                               DMEA




       OPEC members provide





       refining capacity update






       The release this week of OPEC’s Annual Statistical Bulletin made for interesting reading,
       though the capacity numbers provided little more than guidance, as units remain inactive.




        OPEC             THE release this week of the 2022 OPEC Annual   The predominantly state-owned oil firm has
                         Statistical Bulletin included overview data of  deals in place that will give it a net international
                         refining capacity among member states. How-  refining capacity of 1.685mn bpd once projects
       WHAT:             ever, rather than providing an accurate picture  including the 300,000 bpd Pengerang Petro-
       OPEC data suggests that   of OPEC refining activity in 2021, the data offers  chemical Co. (PRefChem) facility in Malaysia
       member state refineries’   a best-case scenario processing level, once major  and the Huajin Aramco Petrochemical Co.
       full capacities have   overhaul and expansion projects have been  (HAPCO) plant of the same size at Panjin in
       been available, though   completed.                    north-eastern China.
       the active figures are   The report suggests that total OPEC refin-
       significantly lower.  ing capacity increased from 12.202mn barrels  Iran
                         per day in 2020 to 12.915mn bpd in 2021. Saudi  Meanwhile, OPEC said that Iran’s refining
       WHY:              Arabia and Iran remain the two key markets in  capacity was 2.2mn bpd during 2021. While rep-
       Member states have   the Middle East and Africa, though Iraq saw the  resenting a significant rise over the past decade,
       long relied on direct   biggest annual growth in capacity.  the increase is only a small part of a much larger,
       crude oil sales to prop                                planned expansion.
       up their economies, but   Saudi Arabia                   This showed that refining capacity had effec-
       controlling downstream   The report showed that Saudi refining through-  tively remained flat between 2020 and 2021, sit-
       when your feedstock is at   put capacity had risen to 3.327mn bpd, up from  ting at 2.202mn bpd. Meanwhile, this represents
       a price you control is too   2.927mn bpd a year earlier thanks to the addi-  a rise of 480,000 bpd compared with capacity in
       good an opportunity to   tion of the 400,000 bpd Jazan refinery on the  2011, which was just 1.715mn bpd.
       pass up.          Red Sea coast. However, a research note from   The IGM Energy research note said that
                         consultancy IGM Energy clarified that capacity  during Q1, installed crude oil and condensate
       WHAT NEXT:        at year-end was 3.127mn bpd as Jazan continued  refining capacity had expanded to 2.235mn bpd,
       The broad direction   to operate at around 50%.        though this noted that at least 130,000 bpd was
       of refining capacity’s   “Operations at Jazan ramped up during the  inactive.
       travel is unmistakeably   first half of 2022 and the facility is now operating   However, that increase still falls short of the
       upwards as major oil   at around 55%, giving Saudi Arabia a total refin-  target set by the National Iranian Oil Refining
       producers move to have   ing capacity of 3.147mn bpd across NOC Saudi  and Distribution Co. (NIORDC) in 2019 of
       more control over how,   Aramco’s nine wholly owned and domestic joint  achieving a refining capacity of 2.4mn bpd by
       where and in what form   venture refineries,” the note said.  March 2020.
       their crude is sold.  Aramco is understood to be working to   The country’s largest refinery is the 400,000
                         increase Jazan’s processing capabilities through  bpd Persian Gulf Star Refinery (PGSR), which
                         the addition of gasifier units at the plant this year  processes condensate from the supergiant off-
                         and hopes to reach capacity in 2023.  shore South Pars gas field. Phase 1 was officially























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