Page 5 - FSUOGM Week 29 2022
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FSUOGM                                       COMMENTARY                                            FSUOGM











































                         a “Union alert” on supply security, enabling it   According to Moscow-based Kommersant,
                         to impose mandatory reductions in gas con-  the turbine was delivered via plane to Germany
                         sumption on member states if they do not  on July 17. Earlier the newspaper had reported
                         take voluntary action. This alert would come  that the turbine would be sent on a ship, which
                         into effect when “there is a substantial risk of  would have taken considerably longer. Kommer-
                         severe gas shortage or an exceptionally high  sant notes that it will take a further five or seven
                         gas demand,” the commission said.    days for the turbine to arrive at the compressor
                           The 15% reduction in gas consumption is  station in Russia, assuming there are no logisti-
                         equivalent to around 45bn cubic metres of sup-  cal or customs problems. A further three or four
                         ply – around a third of the total gas that Russia  days will be required to reinstall and commission
                         pumped to Europe last year. The Commission  the unit, suggesting that Nord Stream 1 will not
                         wants member states to continue restricting  be operating at full capacity until the end of July
                         demand by this level until March 31, 2023,  at the earliest.
                         around the time when the heating season typ-  Speaking to reporters after a trip to Tehran,
                         ically ends. Doing so should enable the bloc to  where he attempted to shore up relations with
                         make it through winter without exhausting its  the leaders of Iran and Turkey, Putin said that
                         gas reserve, von der Leyen said. The Commis-  Nord Stream had five pumping units operated by
                         sion’s proposal will be discussed by EU ministers  Siemens, while one more was out of order due to
                         during an extraordinary energy summit on July  “crumbling of [the] inside lining.”
                         26.                                    “There are two functioning machines there,
                                                              they pump 60mn cubic metres per day … If one
                         Nord Stream uncertainty              is not returned, there will be one, which is 30
                         Russia’s Nord Stream is due to wrap up 10 days  mcm. Has Gazprom something to do with that?”
                         of routine annual maintenance on July 21, but  Putin said, noting that one more of the pumping
                         a number of European leaders have expressed  turbines is due to be delivered for maintenance
                         concern that Moscow will keep the pipeline  on July 26.
                         offline for longer, or reopen it but at a restricted   Nord Stream’s full capacity is 55 bcm per year,
                         capacity.                            meaning it is normally technically able to send
                           Russian President Vladimir Putin said on July  150 mcm per day to Europe.
                         20 that the pipeline’s capacity could be reduced   Regardless of the accuracy of the Kremlin’s
                         further because of slow progress with equipment  claims, the issue of technical difficulties at Nord
                         maintenance. The pipeline’s flow was already at  Stream may be a red herring, as Gazprom has
                         40% of the normal level before its closure, with  more than enough transit capacity at its disposal
                         Gazprom citing technical problems relating to  via the Yamal-Europe pipeline, the TurkStream
                         Siemens’ failure to return a turbine to the Por-  pipeline and Ukrainian transit system to keep
                         tovaya compressor station in Russia that had  sending the same amount of gas to Europe even
                         been sent to Canada for repairs, due to sanctions.  if Nord Stream’s capacity is restricted. ™



       Week 29   20•July•2022                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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