Page 15 - FSUOGM Week 33
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FSUOGM                                FINANCE & INVESTMENT                                         FSUOGM


       Lukoil to give up deal in Senegal





        SENEGAL          RUSSIAN oil major Lukoil will not be able
                         to carry out the acquisition of a 40% stake in
                         the Rufisque, Sangomar and Sangomar Deep
                         (RSSD) project in Senegal, Kommersant daily
                         reported on August 17.
                           Australia’s Woodside Energy has previously
                         said it might seek to block Lukoil from acquir-
                         ing a stake in RSSD by exercising its right to pre-
                         empt the sale of the stake now owned by Cairn
                         Energy (UK).
                           Woodside is expected to follow through on
                         its previous intentions and will pre-empt the sale
                         and raise its stake in RSDD to 75%.
                           Kommersant noted that Lukoil was finding it
                         challenging to expand its resource base in Russia,
                         as offshore and strategic oilfields were reserved
                         for state-run majors Rosneft and Gazprom.
                           Most recently, Lukoil acquired 25% in Con-  CIB commented on August 18.
                         go-based Marine XII for $768mn, 5% in UAE-  For Lukoil, the fact that it will not enter the
                         based Ghasha, and in 2019 increased its stake in  project now means lower risks for dividends in
                         Nigerian extraction Block 132 from 18% to 40%.  the medium term, the bank believes, observing
                           The Russian company is also eyeing participa-  that the development of the Sangomar field alone
                         tion in the EG-27 extraction block in Equatorial  could have required a substantial capital invest-
                         Guinea (80% stake possible with 20% reserved  ment outlay from Lukoil of $1.7bn over 2020-
                         for state GEPetrol), as well as the Etinde project  2023 (over $400mn per year on average).
                         on Cameroon’s offshore shelf (37.5% stake).  VTB Capital (VTBC), in turn, suggested
                           “After the planned acquisition was  on August 18 that in the absence of large-scale
                         announced by Lukoil in late July, we had written  acquisitions, Lukoil might be more willing to
                         that the RSSD project looked to be an interest-  increase the shareholder return.
                         ing investment opportunity at a fairly low initial   Still, VTBC does not expect a tangible mar-
                         cost – and the fact that Woodside exercised its  ket reaction to the news, with Lukoil’s share price
                         pre-emptive rights supports our view,” Sberbank  showing no immediate reaction.™




       Rosneft expects capex bounce back in 2021





        RUSSIA           RUSSIA’S state-run Rosneft expects its capital   Apart from cutting its capex by 20% since
                         expenditure to recover to normal levels in 2021  the beginning of the health crisis (from RUB1
                         (planned RUB1 trillion – $13.68bn), given that  trillion to RUB800bn), Rosneft also reduced
                         the COVID-19 crisis will have passed, BCS  interest costs by over 20% or RUB22bn due to
                         Global Markets wrote on August 17 citing the  the general fall in interest rates.
                         conference call of Rosneft’s management on   BCS GM notes that RUB180bn of the
                         2Q20 IFRS results.                   RUB200bn capex cuts in  2020  came from
                           After posting its first loss since 2012 in 1Q20,  upstream activities.
                         Rosneft bounced back in 2Q20 with above-ex-  Rosneft also remains focused on its gas busi-
                         pectation revenues, earnings and bottom line.  ness, emphasising that internal supplies of gas



















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