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NorthAmOil                                    COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil




       OPEC+ makes 2mn bpd





       cut, angering the US







       Months of badgering by Western leaders counted for

       nought this week as OPEC+ announced a 2mn bpd

       quota reduction that serves to bolster prices and
       cover up issues raising production




        GLOBAL           THE OPEC+ group of oil producers made the
                         decision to cut combined output by 2mn barrels
       WHAT:             per day (bpd) when they met in person this week
       The reduction will lead to   for the first time since the coronavirus (COVID-
       an effective output drop   19) pandemic began. It comes despite fears about
       of around 1mn bpd.  the state of the global economy and follows a
                         lengthy period during which Middle Eastern
       WHY:              oil producers in particular have been urged to
       Price volatility,   increase output as they near theoretical output
       concerns about future   highs.
       upward production   The reduction was the group’s second in as
       and dedication to the   many months, with September’s decision wip-
       long-standing deal are   ing out the 100,000 bpd added to output in
       all thought to have been   August.
       factors in the decision.  Over the previous 18 months OPEC+ had
                         been working to return around 10mn bpd of
       WHAT NEXT:        supplies taken off the market to stem the mas-
       The US has called out   sive losses experienced by oil exporting nations
       the move, threatening   when crude prices plummeted in Q2 2020.
       action to reduce OPEC’s   The slow build-back ensured that prices rose                     US President Joe Biden
       influence on the market.  steadily, but renewed volatility amid conflict                   is concerned about
                         and concerns about demand has necessitated  challenging midterm election.  upward pressure on
                         action in the opposite direction as many market   However, despite widespread pressure, the   fuel prices ahead of a
                         commentators opine that the group now views  group’s top producers – Saudi Arabia and Rus-  challenging midterm
                         $90 per barrel as a non-negotiable price floor,  sia – have stuck by each other, appearing to have   election.
                         though the Saudi government has vehemently  learnt from the folly of their short-lived price
                         denied any desire to control prices.  war that coincided with the start of the pan-
                                                              demic, and members said that the reductions
                         Criticism and collaboration          were required “in light of the uncertainty that
                         The cut drew immediate criticism from major  surrounds the global economic and oil market
                         consuming nations, led by the US, whose Pres-  outlooks.”
                         ident Joe Biden lobbied hard earlier in the year   With sanctions constraining the market
                         to encourage OPEC+ members to raise output.  for Russian crude as its ‘military operation’
                           The White House published a statement  in Ukraine continues and Moscow moves to
                         by National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan  annexe four south-eastern regions of its neigh-
                         and National Economic Council Director  bour, Riyadh has refrained from criticism, per-
                         Brian Deese, which said Biden had been “dis-  haps with an eye on the stability of oil relations
                         appointed by the short-sighted decision by  and another on its own long-running military
                         OPEC+ to cut production quotas while the  campaign in Yemen.
                         global economy is dealing with the continued   Russia was reported to be keen to cut out-
                         negative impact of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine”.  put by 1mn bpd, while Saudi Arabia had been
                         The true source of this disappointment is likely  rumoured to be considering an additional, uni-
                         to be the upward pressure it will have on fuel  lateral cut in the region of 500,000 bpd.
                         prices just over a month before Biden faces a   The two countries account for more half of



       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                        Week 40   06•October•2022
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