Page 17 - FSUOGM Week 23 2021
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FSUOGM                                      NEWS IN BRIEF                                          FSUOGM










       analyst at the Kyiv-based Concorde Capital   The well averaged 1,248 barrels of oil   between Hungary and Serbia is set to be
       brokerage said in a research note.  equivalent per day in the first ten days of   completed in October.
                                           testing since May 21 (with 777 boepd being   The pipeline will connect Hungary to
                                           oil) and then was shut in for a pressure   Turk Stream pipeline. Hungary is also
       Senators visit Kyiv, discuss        build-up. Now the well has stabilised its   looking to expand its energy mix by buying
                                           output at 1,340 boepd (with 890 boepd
                                                                                LNG from Croatia. State utility giant MVW
       Russian aggression, Nord            being oil), while the company stated that   booked regasification capacity for 6.75bcm
                                                                                of gas at the Krk terminal for a seven-year
                                           further testing would determine its optimal
       Stream 2                            parameters to maximise oil recovery.  period starting 2021.
                                              “The well looks like a significant addition
       Three US Senators met with President   to JKX’s Ukrainian operations, where the
       Volodymyr Zelenskiy of Ukraine and other   company produced just 3,843 boepd of
       members of the Ukrainian government on   hydrocarbons in 1Q21. At least operation   CENTRAL ASIA & SOUTH
       June 2 in Kyiv. The senators, Jeanne Shaheen  of this well will allow JKX to stabilise its
       (D-NH), Robert Portman (R-OH) and   Ukrainian output in 2Q21 vs the previous   CAUCASUS
       Christopher Murphy (D-CT), issued a joint   quarter (after it reported five consecutive
       release declaring that they were visiting to   quarters of output decline). If the well   Kazakhstan focused CPC
       “show US solidarity with Ukraine against   continues performing, it will allow the
       Russian aggression … as well as encourage   company to smoothen the total production   may cut pipeline shipments
       progress on democratic reforms.” The public   decline rate in Ukraine this year from 25%
       statement from Zelenskiy focused on the   year on year (as we earlier estimated) to   in 2021 by 7mn tonnes
       assessment of the security situation along   about 12% y/y. All in all, the news could
       the border, especially in regard to Donbas,   be welcomed by the stock market,” an   The Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC)
       and the possible completion and use of   analyst at the Kyiv-based Concorde Capital   may cut oil shipments to 60mn tonnes from
       the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. Regarding the   brokerage said in a research note.  its previously planned 67mn tonnes due to
       pipeline, Zelenskiy stated that if it is used                            OPEC+ restrictions, CEO of the oil pipeline
       and Russia stops using the pipeline through                              operator Nikolai Gorban told TASS news
       Ukraine, the loss of revenue would prevent   Hungary agrees with         agency on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg
       Ukraine from funding its military.                                       International Economic Forum.
         “Compared to the visit of Secretary   Gazprom on extending               The cut would bring the possible oil
       Blinken, this trip was rather low-key, even                              shipments via the CPC system to 10%
       though Portman is the senior member of   long-term gas delivery          below the volumes planned for this year.
       the Senate Foreign Relations Committee                                   CPC pumped 59mn tonnes of oil in 2020,
       and co-chair of the Senate Ukraine   with Russia, seeks flexible         5mn tonnes below its initial target for that
       Caucus, and as such has a more targeted                                  year, due to an overall decline in global oil
       vision of affairs in Ukraine. However, the   pricing                     demand driven by the pandemic.
       three senators’ trip is more regional in                                   “Oil producers have requested shipment
       nature, with stops in Lithuania to discuss   Hungary and Russia have agreed to   of 67mn tonnes of oil via the CPC system
       Belarusian issues, and (for Shaheen and   conclude a long-term agreement on the   this year. Meanwhile, considering the
       Portman) Georgia. It can be seen as   delivery of natural gas from Russia to   figures at the beginning of the year we will
       assurance in the midst of some rather   Hungary, Hungary’s foreign minister   probably reach 60mn tonnes,” Gorban said.
       severe sabre-rattling on the part of not only   said after talks with Gazprom CEO   CPC is a pipeline system that connects
       Belarus but also Russia, which analysts   Alexey Miller on the sidelines of the St   Kazakhstan with a seaport in Russia’s
       say has removed only about 10,000 of the   Petersburg International Economic Forum.   Novorossiysk area, where tankers are loaded
       100,000 troops moved to Ukraine’s border   A principle agreement had also been   with oil for supply to global markets. The
       during the spring. Also unlike Blinken’s   reached on strategic cooperation on vaccine   1,511km-long pipeline links to oil fields in
       visit, which had governance and corruption   production. This means that Budapest   West Kazakhstan Region. .
       as a theme, the security emphasis made for   could produce Sputnik V or other Russian
       a calmer meeting,” an analyst at the Kyiv-  vaccines at the future vaccination plant
       based Concorde Capital brokerage said in a   from 2022.                  Russia, Mongolia’s top
       research note..                        The long-term gas contract between
                                           Hungary and Russia has been in place for   diplomats discuss Soyuz
                                           26 years but will expire in September. The
       JKX reports testing well            government intends to enter into a 15-year   Vostok gas pipeline
                                           contract with flexible pricing that would
       IG149 exceeds expectations          ensure the country’s long-term supplies.   A working meeting between Alexey Miller,
                                                                                chairman of the Gazprom management
                                           Hungary covers 80-90% of its gas needs,
       JKX Oil & Gas (JKX LN) reported on June   some 9-10bncm from Russia, but has sought  committee, and Battsetseg Batmunkh,
       3 on the results of testing at its new well   to lessen dependence by establishing two-  Minister of Foreign Affairs of Mongolia,
       IG149 in Ukraine, commenting that the   way gas supply with all its neighbours.  took place at the St Petersburg International
       result “significantly exceeds expectations.”   Construction on the last such facility   Economic Forum 2021.



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