Page 4 - MEOG Week 25 2021
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MEOG                                          COMMENTARY                                               MEOG




       Iran elects new





       President at critical





       juncture for sanctions






       Whether or not most Iranians wanted this outcome, it is
       time for change in Tehran as hardliners expand control.




        IRAN             IRAN last week elected the favourite candidate,  also mentioned that his government would fight
                         conservative judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi, as its  corruption and improve welfare of Iran.
                         next President in what has been labelled a ‘sham   The 13th presidential elections in the history
       WHAT:             election’ following the disqualification of mod-  of the Islamic Republic were held on July 18 with
       Whether or not most   erate candidates.                a record low turnout of 48.8%. Raisi is reported
       Iranians wanted this   Once he takes office, hardliners will control  to have won 17.9mn votes (62%), 2mn more
       outcome, it is time   all branches of Iran’s government for the first  votes than he managed in the 2016 election,
       for change in Tehran   time in a decade.               when he ran against Rouhani.
       as hardliners expand   Raisi’s victory marks a changing of the guard   “The message of the people of Iran is change.
       control.          from the comparatively moderate administra-  The message of the people of Iran is the fight
                         tion of the outgoing Hassan Rouhani, under  against corruption, poverty and discrimination,
       WHY:              whose watch the capabilities of the local oil and  as well as the achievement of justice,” he said.
       Less than half of eligible   gas sector have improved significantly despite   Raisi added that “this is a message for the
       voters turned out to vote   the challenges posed by ongoing US-backed  [new] government that needs to be heard.”
       amid concerns about   sanctions.                         He said that “the priorities of the government
       the disqualification of   Perhaps the most noteworthy upstream  will improve the business environment, peo-
       moderate candidates.  achievements of the Rouhani era are the rise  ple’s lives and the situation in the government,
                         in oil production capacity at the south-western  as well as reforming the administrative system
       WHAT NEXT:        West Karoun field cluster from 70,000 barrels per  and eliminating the traditional bureaucracy that
       Much will depend   day in 2013 to the current 420,000 bpd and the  impedes change”.
       on Raisi’s ability to   bringing of nine of the 24 development phases   On the nuclear deal, Raisi said the new Ira-
       balance his backers’   of the supergiant South Pars gas field to fruition.  nian government will support the nuclear deal if
       apparent desire for more   Major progress was made in downstream  the other parties to the agreement fully honour
       hardline rhetoric and   and grid connectivity, with the Persian Gulf Star  their commitments.
       compromises that will   Refinery (PGSR) refinery project making Iran   “Our call is that you must fulfil your terms of
       achieve a return to the   self-sufficient in gasoline and 95% of the pop-  the agreement, and then we will fulfil ours,” he
       JCPOA.            ulation now being connected to the country’s  said, answering a question about the importance
                         extensive gas network.               of the nuclear deal for the new government. “Our
                           However, the departure of the US from  policy does not start with or end with a nuclear
                         the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action  deal,” the president-elect added.
                         (JCPOA) in 2018 hampered the government’s   Raisi said: “Iran will not negotiate a nuclear
                         efforts to bring about the major strides forward  deal if they do not secure the country’s interests.”
                         that were anticipated when the deal was struck.  The incoming president added that Iran
                                                              is calling on the US to return to its obligations
                         Time for change                      under the JCPOA, saying that Washington had
                         Despite the best efforts of Rouhani, Foreign Min-  “violated the agreements” by withdrawing from
                         ister Mohammad Javad Zarif and Oil Minister  the deal.
                         Bijan Zanganeh, who will all leave office, Raisi   “The Europeans are not fulfilling their obli-
                         has already spoken of Iran’s need for change.  gations. The United States must fulfil its obli-
                           During his first press conference since win-  gations, and the Europeans must not yield to
                         ning the election, he said that the “people of  American pressure,” he added.
                         Iran are demanding change”, though he prom-  On the country’s ballistics programme, Raisi
                         ised to keep with the current nuclear deal in his  said the Iranian missile programme would not
                         answers to Iranian and foreign journalists. Raisi  be discussed in international negotiations and



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                           Week 25   23•June•2021
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