Page 5 - DMEA Week 42
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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA



                         pricing to the Nigerian Midstream and Down-  reduce emissions. As such, it has an incentive to
                         stream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMD-  make gas development a more attractive invest-
                         PRA), one of the new state agencies that is being  ment target.
                         established to replace Nigerian National Petro-
                         leum Corp. (NNPC). It states that NMDPRA  Maintaining the incentive
                         “may, by regulations, change the domestic base  Even so, maintaining this incentive will take
                         price and the yearly increase) to reflect changed  some effort.
                         market conditions and supply frameworks.”  As noted above, TPPs are slated to pay some-
                                                              what less for fuel than other consumers, while
                         Higher returns from domestic sales   gas-based industrial consumers may pay much
                         The new gas pricing regime is designed to  less. As a result, gas developers may show less
                         encourage domestic gas consumption, in line  interest in sales to TPPs and gas-based indus-
                         with the government’s previously stated goals. It  tries – unless the government makes a point
                         aims to achieve this goal by making the domestic  of managing demand through such measures
                         market profitable enough to attract more direct  as mandating deliveries to such users and con-
                         investment.                          structing transportation and distribution pipe-
                           Timipre Sylva, Nigeria’s Minister of State for  lines according to schedules that prioritise such
                         Petroleum Resources, hinted at the outlines of  users.
                         this strategy during a meeting with members of   There is an argument to be made in favour
                         the Nigerian Association of Petroleum Explora-  of such measures. After all, TPPs will use gas
                         tionists (NAPE) in August. He stated that the PIB  to produce electricity, thereby increasing the
                         – which had not, at that point, been submitted to  domestic supply of a commodity that will benefit
                         the National Assembly – would “establish a gas  all sectors of the economy, as well as residential
                         base price that is higher than current levels.” He  consumers. Likewise, gas-based industries will
                         did not give a specific figure but indicated that  help maximise profits from gas production by
                         the higher price was anticipated to make gas  turning out value-added products, while also
                         projects more lucrative and less vulnerable to  creating many new jobs.
                         fluctuations in world oil markets.     If Abuja follows this course, though, it will be
                           “This price level should be sufficiently attrac-  performing a balancing act. It will have to uphold
                         tive to increase gas production significantly,  its new commitment to “establish a fully func-
                         since this gas price will be comparable with gas  tioning free market in natural gas for domestic
                         prices in other emerging economies with consid-  supplies,” as spelled out in the PIB, while also
                         erable gas production,” he said. “The price will be  imposing some controls on prices in order to
                         independent of all gas prices for LNG export and  ensure the profitability of domestic sales.
                         is therefore a stable basis for enhanced domestic   Additionally, it will have to do these things
                         gas development, regardless of international oil  while trying to make gas look economical
                         or energy development.”              enough to attract the private investment that
                           Sylva’s statements seem logical, especially  has typically gone to the oil sector. The PIB
                         in light of the fact that a significant portion of  states that the NMDPRA must “monitor the
                         Nigeria’s gas reserves take the form of associated  gas prices in other major emerging countries
                         gas that cannot be used unless it is first separated  and ensure that Nigeria [continues] to have a
                         from oil production streams.         price level for natural gas that is less than the
                           Many oil operators working at Nigerian fields  average of these emerging countries in order
                         have made a practice of treating associated gas  to promote the non-oil sectors in the Nigerian
                         as waste and burning it off. But Nigeria’s govern-  economy.”
                         ment is now looking to eliminate flaring, partly   This is likely to prove a complicated task. In
                         because it does not wish to discard potentially  order to pull it off, Nigeria may have to work
                         useful resources and partly because it hopes to  harder to ensure good governance. ™

                                                                                                  The extra gas captured
                                                                                                  could be used as
                                                                                                  feedstock in the
                                                                                                  petrochemicals sector.




















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