Page 10 - FSUOGM Week 16 2022
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FSUOGM                                 PROJECTS & COMPANIES                                         FSUOGM












       Three Russian mega-projects stall



       on sanctions woes





        RUSSIA           FEARS of being hit by secondary western sanc-  was intended to monetize gas reserves on
                         tions and trouble raising financing are among  the Sakhalin shelf as part of the Sakhalin-1
       The projects are Amur   the many problems facing a slew of Russian  consortium.
       Gas Chemical Complex,   mega-projects that are increasingly being sus-  "The project that the Americans announced –
       Far Eastern LNG and a   pended or stopped completely.  Exxon – in the port of De-Kastri with a pipe from
       railway development.  Among the biggest victims is the $10bn Amur  Sakhalin, it is frozen. Why this is being done – it
                         Gas Chemical Complex, a giant petrochemical  amazes me! This is shooting yourself in the foot.
                         plant being jointly built by Russia’s Sibur and  There is gas, there is a coast, labour resources and
                         China’s Sinopec. The deal was signed in Decem-  investments there is, but they are freezing the
                         ber 2020 but the duo announced in April that  project for political reasons," Mikhail Degtyarev,
                         they are “reconsidering” the implementation  the region’s governor, said in a local interview.
                         of the plant that is already over a third finished   Rosneft originally estimated that the plant
                         (37.8%) and was due to open in 2024. The prob-  would create 5,000 jobs in the construction
                         lem is the partners are no longer sure it can be  phase, 700 permanent positions when it was fin-
                         completed after the imports technical parts have  ished and altogether generate RUB5 trillion for
                         been sanctioned.                     the local economy.
                           The project is 40% owned by Sinopec and   Meanwhile, Sakhalin is also expected to suf-
                         worth $10bn. It is the largest investment pro-  fer, as when both ExxonMobil and Shell leave
                         ject in the otherwise fairly depressed region  gas projects there their own technology will be
                         and if it fails to go ahead that will harm the  difficult to replace.
                         local economy. The plant itself is supposed to   The Khabarovsk Territory has other big
                         supply polymers to the Chinese market, and  investment projects going on, e.g. in the field of
                         become the largest factory of basic polymers  logistics: if Russian coal exports pivot to China,
                         in the world, reports Andras Toth-Czifra, a  the government will need to ramp up the mod-
                         Russia researcher.                   ernisation of railways and ports.
                           “While Sinopec has not abandoned the pro-  Another megaproject that will at least require
                         ject, it has "paused" participation, which sug-  adjustments is the Northern Latitudinal Railway,
                         gests that as long as there is a risk of secondary  a project of the state-owned Russian Railways
                         sanctions, it won’t be finished,” says Toth-Czifra.  (RZhD) and the state-owned Gazprom, which
                         “This will not only impact jobs in the region but  would connect the Yamal Peninsula with North-
                         also Gazprom’s local plant, to which the new  western Russia through the Urals, and which was
                         complex is connected.”               expected to open in 2023.
                           Another frozen megaproject is Far East LNG,   The project is part-funded by the RZhD, the
                         a $4.2bn project by the state-owned oil major  National Welfare Fund and the Yamal-Nenets
                         Rosneft and US oil company ExxonMobil. This  AO’s budget and concessions. But in March
                         project was also suspended in April after Exxon  it turned out that there’s a financing gap of
                         withdrew from Russia.                RUB250bn, even after reallocating RUB50bn of
                           The project is connected to gas extraction in  infrastructure loans, reports Toth-Czifra.
                         Sakhalin, but the plant itself was planned to be   The railway is considered a key part in the
                         located in the Khabarovsk Territory and due to  development of the energy industry of Eastern
                         go online in 2028                    Siberia, the Arctic (including the Northern Sea
                           Exxon Neftegaz Ltd (ENL, a subsidiary of  Route), to unburden the Trans Siberian Rail-
                         ExxonMobil, operator of the Sakhalin-1 project)  way (an essential logistics challenge) and ensure
                         launched a tender campaign in February to select  more reliable delivery of goods to the regions.
                         contractors for the Far East LNG project. The   “But with technology exports limited and
                         company announced the search for contractors  the future of projects (e.g. Novatek’s Yamal LNG
                         to assess the quality of building materials, as well  project) hanging in the balance, it is unclear if
                         as the search for manufacturers of reinforced  the development of the Northern Sea Route
                         concrete products.                   will even go ahead as planned – and that will
                           The construction of an LNG plant with  have repercussions in northwest Russia too,”
                         a capacity of 6.2mn tonnes per year (tpy)  Toth-Czifra said. ™



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