Page 9 - FSUOGM Week 01 2023
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FSUOGM                                PIPELINES & TRANSPORT                                        FSUOGM












       Russia kicks off gas flow through Power



       of Siberia from second field





        RUSSIA           RUSSIA’S Gazprom has launched a second field  of Siberia 2, would source gas from fields that
                         to flow gas to China via the Power of Siberia  formerly served the European market.
       The target is 38 bcm   pipeline, supporting Moscow’s goal of expand-  Chinese customs data showed in October
       per year of gas by   ing eastward exports to replace lost sales to the  2022 that Russia had overtaken Australia to
       2025.             European market.                     become the second biggest gas supplier to China.
                           The start-up of the Kovyktinskoye field in  The customs data includes both pipeline and
                         the Irkutsk region was marked by a ceremony  LNG supplies. In first place is Turkmenistan, but
                         on December 21 attended via teleconference by  Russia is poised to overtake that country as well
                         Russian President Vladimir Putin and Gazprom  unless there is movement on plans for a fourth
                         CEO Alexei Miller. Following the launch of a  line to be added to the Central Asia-China gas
                         first gas treatment unit, Kovyktinskoye is capa-  pipeline. The project has been languishing for
                         ble of flowing 6bn cubic metres per year of gas to  years.
                         China, complementing existing deliveries from
                         the Chayandinskoye field in Yakutia. Once three  Further growth in Russian flow?
                         more units are brought on stream, production  The outlook for a further expansion in Russian
                         at the field will reach a plateau level of 27 bcm  gas pipeline supplies to China will depend on
                         per year.                            how quickly Beijing and Moscow can settle on
                           Gazprom is contracted to send at 38 bcm per  a contract to underpin Power of Siberia 2, and
                         year via the Power of Siberia under a 30-year con-  how quickly Gazprom can develop additional
                         tract it struck with CNPC in 2014. But this peak  gas transport infrastructure to send gas from
                         level is not anticipated to be reached until around  the Arctic and via the Far Eastern route. In the
                         2025 – six years after the pipeline’s launch.  case of Power of Siberia 2, upstream capacity is
                           Kovyktinskoye’s start-up comes after Gaz-  already available at fields that formerly supplied
                         prom completed an 804-km pipeline earlier this  Europe, unless there is a rapprochement in Rus-
                         month linking the field with Chayandinskoye.  sia-EU energy ties. In the case of the Far Eastern
                         This makes the Power of Siberia now 3,000 km  route, new upstream investments will need to be
                         in length.                           made at fields off the coast of Sakhalin Island.
                           “In the east of the country, we have formed   The 2014 contract for Power of Siberia took
                         a strategically important infrastructure complex  considerable negotiation – the first serious dis-
                         for Russia of production, transport and process-  cussions began over a decade ago. Russia also has
                         ing facilities. There are simply no analogues to  scarcer financial and technical resources since it
                         this in the world,” Miller said in a statement.  was isolated by the West in response to its war
                         “Today we launched new key facilities. This is a  in Ukraine.
                         unique [field and] the largest in Eastern Siberia   Another factor is how quickly Russia can roll
                         in terms of gas reserves.”           out new LNG projects. While Novatek insists
                           Kovyktinskoye’s total gas resources are  that its second terminal, Arctic LNG-2, should
                         assessed by Russia at 1.8 trillion cubic metres.  start up as originally planned in 2023, despite
                         In addition to gas, the field also yields gas con-  fallout from the situation in Ukraine, future
                         densate that can be used to produce motor fuels  developments are expected to struggle.
                         and plastics. Infrastructure has been established   Significant construction on Arctic LNG-2’s
                         to stabilise this condensate and transport it to  first train had already taken place before Western
                         industry, Gazprom said. This includes a 173-km  partners began withdrawing from the project.
                         pipeline and a railway loading terminal.  But work on its second and third trains, sched-
                           In addition to flow via the Power of Siberia,  uled for launch in 2025 and 2026, is at a more
                         Russia signed a contract in February to pump  limited stage. And Russia is acutely dependent
                         an additional 10 bcm per year of gas to China  on Western technology, services and equip-
                         via a newly planned pipeline that will enter the  ment in the LNG sector. This is not to mention
                         country in the Far East. Moscow and Beijing are  the country’s restricted access to international
                         also in talks to reach a contract to underpin a far  financing.
                         more ambitious project – a pipeline to deliver 50   Other prospective Russian LNG projects such
                         bcm per year of gas from the Russian Arctic to  as Arctic LNG-1 and Arctic LNG-3 will face even
                         China through Mongolia. This pipeline, Power  greater hurdles. ™

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