Page 10 - AsianOil Week 20 2022
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AsianOil                                      ASIA-PACIFIC                                           AsianOil


       Saudi Arabia cuts




       crude export prices



       to Asia, Kuwait



       follows suit





        POLICY           WHEN Saudi Aramco cut its export prices on
                         crude shipments to Asian countries last week,
                         analysts wasted no time in attributing this first
                         reduction in prices in four months to ongoing
                         lockdowns across China related to coronavirus
                         (COVID-19) outbreaks.
                           Kuwait then took similar action, in the pro-
                         cess becoming the second-largest OPEC+
                         member to slash prices on crude destined for
                         Asian markets in June, and possibly beyond.
                           Prices of Kuwaiti oil exports had hit record-
                         high levels earlier this month.
                           Exporters in both countries have recently  energy security seen as more pressing as the
                         appeared worried over the lack of demand in  warmer summer months approach.
                         China throughout much of the second quar-  In Taiwan, where power cuts are becoming
                         ter. At present tens of millions of Chinese peo-  increasingly common, the relatively minor mar-
                         ple are being locked into apartment buildings  ket for Middle Eastern crude has seen price cuts
                         and images of deserted city streets in major  passed on to the general populace. As elsewhere,
                         cities, Shanghai and Beijing included, are now  this has primarily been realised in the form of a
                         commonplace.                         decrease in prices at the pump.
                           As a result, several sources have reported   Overall, shipments from Saudi Arabia remain
                         Saudi Aramco pushing prices down by over $5  high, though. Shipment averages in March have
                         per barrel for its Super Light crude heading to  now been released, coming in at just over 7.2mn
                         Asia next month. Extra Light prices were also  barrels per day (bpd).
                         reduced by $4.95, according to the same sources.  A month earlier the number had passed the
                           The same cuts were not applied elsewhere.  7mn bpd mark for the first time since early 2020,
                         Prices on upcoming shipments to the US remain  when COVID-19 was just starting to affect
         Around 60%      unchanged at $5.65 above the Argus Sour Crude  economies around the world.
                                                               As such, with much of Europe and the US
                         Index (ASCI). Europe, however, did see prices
        of all Saudi oil   go down by $2-$3 per barrel.       now shifting focus away from the pandemic, the
                           Around 60% of all Saudi oil exports is sent  full effects of China’s lockdown on Middle East-
        exports is sent   to Asia. Much goes to China, but Japan, South  ern exports will only be revealed in the coming
         to Asia. Much   Korea and India are also large-scale importers.  months.
                                                               Saudi Arabia at least has moved to increase
                         While the cuts demonstrate the importance of
        goes to China,   the Asian markets to Middle Eastern exporters,  its crude production rate by over 100,000 bpd
                                                              each month under an OPEC+ deal to guaran-
                         there is now speculation in Asia that leverag-
       but Japan, South   ing the possibility of future imports of Russian  tee global supply. But whether or not Chinese
        Korea and India   crude may help push Middle Eastern prices  demand will increase any time soon is part of a
                         down even further.
                                                              “complicated and grave” situation, according to
                           For many smaller consumers of Saudi and  Premier Li Keqiang.
        are also large-  other Middle Eastern countries’ crude, this   Currently in China, factories are closed and
       scale importers.  remains a sensitive political ploy if realised.  supply chains have ground to a halt.
                           Japan is a stand-out in much of East Asia in
                                                               “It’s obviously a terrible situation for citizens
                         this regard, having publicly agreed to phase out  of Shanghai, and entire parts of Beijing have
                         imports of Russian oil.              been told to work from home,” one analyst said
                           This stance was heavily publicised a week  on a Gulf Intelligence podcast this month. “But
                         ago as Tokyo seeks to abide by international  it hasn’t spiralled or snowballed into something
                         sanctions.                           really, really dramatic. Therefore, people have
                           Elsewhere in the region, there is less attention  not worsened their demand-loss projections
                         being paid to events in Ukraine, with domestic  from China,” the analyst added.™



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