Page 5 - DMEA Week 06 2022
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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA


                                                                                                  Aramco and Norinco
                                                                                                  signed their original
                                                                                                  deal for the Panjin
                                                                                                  refinery in 2017














                         said, noting that the PIF would use the proceeds  The combination of successful asset monetisa-
                         to invest both locally and internationally.  tion and resurgent oil prices have flipped the nar-
                           The PIF has plans in place that will see it  rative in recent months, though, and Aramco has
                         spend SAR3 trillion ($800bn) into new sectors  returned to spending heavily as it eyes expansion
                         over the coming decade while creating 1.8mn  throughout the value chain.
                         direct and indirect jobs by 2025.      While it works to expand domestic upstream
                           Ahead of the IPO, Aramco promised to pay  oil production, the company has also resumed
                         out a $75bn dividend in each of the first five years  its global refining expansion programme, having
                         of trading. While this corresponds to just $1.3bn  last month acquired stakes in a refinery and retail
                         leaving state coffers, weak oil prices saw the  assets belonging to Poland’s Grupa Lotos.
                         company resort to tapping the market to raise   This week, various reports cited Aramco
                         cash to ensure it can cover its $18.75bn quarterly  sources as saying that the company has resumed
                         payments.                            talks to build a $10bn refining and petrochemi-
                           This included the almost $28bn Aramco  cals complex at Panjin in north-eastern China’s
                         raised last year by leasing out and then leasing  Liaoning Province.
                         back 25- and 20-year stakes in first its oil pipe-  Originally announced in 2017 as part of
                         lines and then gas pipelines businesses.  China’s One Belt, One Road international infra-
                                                              structure initiative, Aramco agreed a deal with
                         New gas pipeline partner             China North Industries Group Corp. (Norinco)
                         The latter deal was further bolstered this week  for the development of facilities with a projected
                         when the Keppel Infrastructure Trust’s fund  refining capacity of 300,000 bpd alongside
                         management arm said it would invest $250mn  1.5mn tonnes per year of ethylene and 1.3mn
                         in a special purpose vehicle which agreed in  tpy of paraxylene.
                         December to acquire a minority, non-operated   In line with the company’s strategy of increas-
                         stake in Aramco Gas Pipeline Co. (AGPC).  ing the number of crude outlets dedicated to its
                           Aramco had signed a 20-year agreement with  crude production, Aramco intends to supply
                         a the SPV consortium jointly led by BlackRock  70% of the facility’s feedstock, taking a 35% stake
                         Real Assets and Hassana, the investment man-  in the project, with Norinco subsidiary Huajin
                         agement arm of the kingdom’s General Organi-  holding 36% and the local-government owned
                         sation of Social Insurance (GOSI) worth $15.5bn  Sincen the remaining 29%.
                         which the Saudi firm would receive up front,   The Saudi firm’s participation came to an end
                         “further strengthening its balance sheet”.  in 2020 when it slashed capital expenditure in
                           The investors will hold a 49% stake in the new  response to low oil prices and the COVID-19
                         AGPC, with the parent firm owning the majority  outbreak, and its stake was transferred to Hua-
                         share.                               jin, which established a joint venture with Sincen
                           By leasing the rights to the gas network and  late that year.
                         then leasing these rights back to Aramco, the   Quoting sources close to the project, Argus
                         investors will be entitled to receive a pipeline  Media said that the JV kicked off construction of
                         utilisation tariff from Aramco, which will retain  the facility in Q3 2021, with the petrochemical
                         full ownership and operational control of the  units having now been expanded to a planned
                         pipeline network.                    1.65mn tpy of ethylene and 2mn tpy of parax-
                           The deal follows the closure in June of a sim-  ylene, raising the cost of the project to just under
                         ilarly structured deal for a 49% stake in Aramco  $12bn.
                         Oil Pipelines Co. (AOPC) which brought the   While the talks may yet have a long way to
                         company an upfront payment of $12.4bn for a  go, it appears that Aramco is once again pressing
                         25-year lease. The stake in the oil pipeline busi-  ahead with its long-held strategy of raising its
                         ness was leased to a consortium led by US-based  gross global refining footprint to 8-10mn bpd.
                         EIG Global Energy Partners and including Abu  Should it assume the 35% stake it handed back
                         Dhabi sovereign fund Mubadala, China’s Silk  to Huajin in 2020 – and complete several other
                         Road Fund and Hassana.               planned downstream deals (see table) – the Pan-
                                                              jin facility would take Aramco’s gross refining
                         Chinese refinery                     capacity beyond 7.8mn bpd.™



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