Page 12 - GLNG Week 25
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GLNG                                          COMMENTARY                                               GLNG


                                                                                                  Shell says nature-
                                                                                                  based projects are
                                                                                                  just one component
                                                                                                  among several in
                                                                                                  its decarbonisation
                                                                                                  strategy.



















                         the Shanghai Petroleum and Gas Exchange  2050. Taiwan is aiming to reduce its emissions by
                         (SHPGX), which Shell said would offer many  50% by 2050 compared with 2005. And Japan is
                         downstream gas buyers the opportunity to  aiming for a 26% reduction in emissions by 2030
                         decarbonise their energy use.        – though it has been criticised for not setting a
                           No date has been disclosed for the auction,  higher target.
                         and the size of the cargoes has not been spec-  However, the question of additional costs
                         ified either. However, Shell said the cargoes  involved in carbon neutrality needs to be fac-
                         would provide enough energy to power nearly  tored in, especially when the LNG market is
                         300,000 homes for an entire year. Separately,  awash with cheap cargoes, making it more dif-
                         the super-major has said that an average LNG  ficult to be competitive.
                         cargo of around 70,000 tonnes results in roughly   Such extra costs need not be extremely high,
                         240,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions across the  however. While Shell has not disclosed the addi-
                         value chain.                         tional costs involved in producing and trading
                                                              its carbon-neutral LNG, a paper published by
                         Cost question                        the Oxford Institute of Energy Studies (OIES) in
                         It has not yet been disclosed what additional  October 2019 suggested that forest projects are
                         costs may be involved in producing and selling  comparatively low-cost. OIES said that along-
                         carbon-neutral LNG. However, it comes as the  side biogas and biomethane offset projects, for-
                         industry is ramping up efforts to illustrate the  est schemes may not have a great impact on the
                         role natural gas can play in the energy transi-  commercial viability of LNG supplies. It added,
                         tion. Shell notes that natural gas is already the  however, that there are also more costly options,
                         cleanest-burning among fossil fuels, emitting  such as transforming methane into hydro-
                         45-55% fewer greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions  gen with carbon capture and storage (CCS) in
                         and less than one-tenth of the air pollutants com-  either the exporting or importing country. This
                         pared with coal when used to generate electricity.  approach, the institute warned, would substan-  The challenge
                         Pursuing carbon neutrality takes this one step  tially affect “project economics and the afforda-
                         further.                             bility of LNG relative to other choices”.  will be to
                           “Carbon-neutral LNG cargoes are another   Further complicating this picture is the vari-  strike the right
                         choice we are offering our customers, as they  ety of attitudes towards decarbonisation among
                         seek to address their CO2 emissions today,”  countries. For some, decarbonisation is simply   balance between
                         Shell’s vice-president of LNG marketing and  not a priority and the affordability of LNG has
                         trading, Slavko Preočanin, said in 2019, when  already posed a challenge in times when the  decarbonisation
                         the company’s first carbon-neutral cargoes were  price of the fuel was higher. Indeed, this has been
                         announced. “In turn, they are then able to offer  known to result in some countries turning back   goals and
                         the same to their customers, who increasingly  to coal-fired power generation.  affordability.
                         want to reduce the net carbon footprint of their   LNG spot prices are currently low, allowing
                         energy use,” he added.               more countries to buy the fuel. But OIES warned
                           As more and more countries adopt ambitious  that a shift to low and zero-carbon gas had the
                         decarbonisation goals, it will not be surprising if  potentially to raise costs substantially, depending
                         they turn to carbon-neutral LNG – among other  on the policy environment, among other factors.
                         options for offsetting their emissions. While car-  It is likely that some voluntary efforts by com-
                         bon-neutral LNG is still at a nascent stage, some  panies involved in the LNG industry to decar-
                         of Shell’s customers to date are from countries  bonise will increasingly be coupled with policy
                         that are increasingly prioritising decarbonisa-  initiatives, at least in some countries. The chal-
                         tion. For example, South Korea’s government  lenge will be to strike the right balance between
                         recently adopted a net-zero emissions target for  decarbonisation goals and affordability.™



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