Page 5 - LatAmOil Week 48 2020
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LatAmOil                                     COMMENTARY                                            LatAmOil


                         Some successes                       statement issued by Tullow before the Capital
                         Even so, the company is not struggling on every   Markets Day event.
                         single front.                          In that statement, the company said that it
                           It has chalked up a few successes this year,   was working to make the most of the “substan-
                         such as the finalisation of a farm-out transaction   tial potential within [its] large resource base
                         worth $575mn with France’s Total. As a result of   associated with its producing assets, where
                         that deal, it has been able to scale back opera-  there is extensive infrastructure in place.” It also
                         tions in East Africa, a region where it has run up   said it hoped to start realising that potential in
                         against many challenges. It also reported a profit   the second quarter of next year, when it is due
                         and was able to meet production targets in the   to launch the first phase of its investment pro-
                         first half of the year.              gramme with a multi-well drilling programme
                           Additionally, it was quick to appoint Rahul   offshore Ghana.
                         Dhir to the position of CEO, replacing McDade.   The company continued: “In Ghana ... Tullow
                         And Dhir appears to be hopeful that the com-  has produced just 400mn barrels of oil (gross)
                         pany is well on the way towards making up some   from 2.9bn of oil in place (OIP, circa 14%).
                         of the ground it has lost over the last couple of   This plan, alongside a rigorous focus on costs,
                         years, with the help of a new investment plan.  is expected to generate material cash flow over
                           Tullow unveiled that plan last week during   the next decade, which the group anticipates
                         a virtual Capital Markets Day event hosted by   will enable reduction of its current debt levels
                         Dhir, along with CFO Les Wood, managing   and deliver significant value for its host nations
                         director for Ghana Wissam Al-Monthiry and   and investors, [as well as] production growth
                         human resources chief Julia Ross. It also said in   in the medium term and the ability to sustain
                         a statement issued beforehand that it intended to   production over the longer term. The first phase
                         focus on its oil-producing assets in West Africa.  of investment will start in the second quarter of
                                                              2021, with the commencement of a multi-well
                         First priority: Ghana                drilling programme in Ghana.”
                         And according to a Reuters report published   Even so, Ghana and West Africa will not be
                         afterwards, the company’s strategy hinges on   Tullow’s only target.
                         upstream development projects in offshore
                         Ghana.                               South America and East Africa
                           Tullow’s Ghanaian assets include Jubilee, one   According to the statement, the firm is not
                         of the largest oil crude deposits discovered off   giving up entirely on South America and East
                         the coast of West Africa since the turn of the cen-  Africa.
                         tury, and Tweneboa-Enyenra-Ntomme (TEN),   In Kenya, it has already begun the process
                         a block that is home to three oilfields.  of re-assessing its upstream programme in the
                           Tullow acquired its stakes in these assets in   hope of drawing up new production plans that
                         2004, via its purchase of South Africa-based   remain viable when world oil prices are low. It
                         Energy Africa. Since then, the fields have   has also teamed up with its joint venture part-
                         become its largest productive assets, but they   ners to seek the Kenyan government’s permis-
                         have also been the source of some frustration.   sion to extend their licences until the end of
                         Earlier this year, Tullow reported a decline   2021.
                         in reserves at Enyenra and said that Ghana   In South America, meanwhile, it is work-  Outside of
                         National Gas Co. (GNGC) was requesting lower   ing to develop a better understanding of the   Ghana, Tullow
                         volumes of associated gas from Jubilee and TEN.  prospectivity of specific basins – especially the
                           Even so, it hopes to effect a turnaround   “emerging basins” where it holds “substantial   intends to focus
                         very soon. According to Reuters, Al-Monthiry   acreage in Suriname, Guyana and Argentina,”
                         revealed that the company intends to spend   the statement said.           on “emerging
                         $180mn in that country in 2021, more than   It is, for example, reviewing potential drilling
                         half of its total investment budget of $325mn.   sites at the Orinduik block offshore Guyana in   basins”
                         He also said Tullow would work to push associ-  the hope of improving its chances of discovering   where it holds
                         ated gas off-take levels at its Ghanaian fields up   light sweet crude oil. It also intends to join Isra-
                         to more than 130mn cubic feet (3.68mn cubic   el’s Ratio Petroleum and the other shareholders   “substantial
                         metres) per day as of next year.     in Block 47 offshore Suriname in spudding the
                           Over the long term, he added, the company   Goliathberg-Voltzberg North-1 exploration well   acreage in
                         will drill dozens of new wells offshore Ghana. It   in the first quarter of 2021.
                         intends to sink 26 wells at Jubilee by 2030 and   Even so, these initiatives will be smaller in   Suriname, Guyana
                         will drill another 23 during the same period, he   scale than Tullow’s plans for Ghana, which are   and Argentina”
                         said.                                slated to absorb the majority of planned invest-
                           In the meantime, he noted, the company   ments. They will also seek to minimise costs
                         will also take the floating production, storage   outside of West Africa, the company said in its
                         and off-loading (FPSO) vessel that it is using to   statement.
                         develop Jubilee offline temporarily for mainte-  “Tullow has considerable opportunities
                         nance. He did not say how long the maintenance   to unlock value in Kenya and South America.
                         period was anticipated to last.      These require an innovative approach and a
                                                              deep geoscience and engineering expertise but
                         High-value assets                    do not require significant capital investment in
                         Al-Monthiry’s remarks are in line with the   the evaluation phase,” it said. ™



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