Page 9 - AsianOil Week 30 2022
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AsianOil                                       EAST ASIA                                            AsianOil


       Chinese imports




       of Russian LNG hit



       2.35mn tonnes in



       first half of 2022





        PERFORMANCE      THE first half of 2022 has seen Chinese import-
                         ers snap up 2.35mn tonnes of Russian LNG with
                         a total value of $2.16bn. In a knock-on effect,
                         Russia has moved up China’s supply rankings,
                         most notably at the cost of the US, whose export
                         volumes to the Asian country nosedived by 76%
                         over the period.
                           Having moved up the rankings, Russia now
                         stands in fourth place on China’s list of suppliers
                         in the year to date, behind Australia, Qatar and
                         Malaysia.
                           This comes at a cost for all other suppliers
                         to China, though. In similar form to the US, all
                         other LNG suppliers to China have seen export
                         totals dip, albeit not by quite so much.
                           Data from Chinese customs officials released
                         earlier in the month now show that import totals
                         for LNG have risen 28.7% year on year, with  data also indicates that the value of all pipeline
                         recent price increases pushing the actual value  gas shipments has climbed almost threefold y/y
                         up by over 180%. Much of this increase has been  across the January-to-June period, reaching
                         brought about as a direct cause of the Russian  $1.66bn.
                         invasion of Ukraine and spiralling costs for LNG   A spokesperson for the General Adminis-
                         worldwide.                           tration of Customs (GAC) of China, Li Kuiwen,
                           Michal Meidan, director of the China Energy  said that in order to “protect the legitimate busi-
                         Programme at the Oxford Institute for Energy  ness rights and interests of the relevant import-
                         Studies (OIES), has, in part, attributed China’s  ers and exporters”, the agency no longer releases
                         ability to expand its purchases of Russian LNG  breakdown data on pipeline gas shipments.
                                                                The increases are not predicted to last forever,
       Russia has moved   to reduced demand for purchases from Russia   though. LNG demand across China is forecast to
                         among other Asian buyers.
       up China’s supply   “The increase in Russian LNG could be a  dip by around 20% by the end of the year, accord-
        rankings, most   displacement of cargoes going to Japan or South  ing to some analysts, although consultancy
                         Korea because of sanctions, or weaker demand  Wood Mackenzie has limited its projection of
         notably at the   there,” Meidan said.                the potential drop in LNG imports to 14%.
                           US firms looking for larger profits on spot
                                                                There is no end in sight for continued high
        cost of the US.  cargoes was another aspect of the drop-off in  prices, however.
                         US exports to China, according to Meidan. “US
                                                                “Because of Europe’s need to continue to
                         LNG has been going to Europe because higher  source significant volumes of LNG, prices are
                         prices and demand there have made it more  expected to stay elevated at levels which will
                         attractive to ship it there,” she added.  reduce spot procurement in Asia, especially
                           Russian natural gas piped to China has also  China,” Jeffrey Moore, analytics manager of
                         reached new highs of late, with state-owned  Asian LNG at S&P Global Platts, has been
                         Gazprom repeatedly announcing new supply  quoted as saying.
                         records by way of the Power of Siberia pipeline.  In part Chinese firms are working to coun-
                           One statement released by the company  ter the expensive LNG prices of late, with Wood
                         modestly announced that “currently, Gazprom  Mackenzie’s Miaoru Huang noting that Chinese
                         carries out the gas supplies above the contractual  buyers had minimised their exposure to costly
                         daily volumes”.                      spot LNG.
                           Sources indicate that Russian pipeline ship-  “Spot purchases were muted, and reportedly
                         ments to China have soared by well over 60% in  some Chinese players (also) resold cargoes into
                         the first six months of the year. Chinese customs  the European market,” Huang added.™



       Week 30   29•July•2022                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P9
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