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DMEA                                          COMMENTARY                                               DMEA




       The curious case of Nigerian





       refining: waiting for Dangote






       Refineries are taking the blame for Nigerian fuel shortages and high prices but acquiring
       a 20% stake in the new Dangote facility means NNPC may soon breathe a sigh of relief.




        MIDDLE EAST      THE managing director of the Nigerian National  communities in the Petroleum Industry Act so
                         Petroleum Corp. (NNPC) Ltd, Mele Kyari, told  that they become part and parcel of the system,”
                         the country’s House of Representatives (HoR)  he said.
       WHAT:             this week that issues with fuel prices and availa-  “Many of [the refiners] are completely armed
       NNPC’s managing   bility should be blamed on state refineries being  and the community members cannot even
       director has said the   out of operation.              report them. They are helpless, because if they
       country’s out-of-service   In doing so, the official effectively levelled  report them, they will come after them,” he
       refineries are to blame   the blame at his own company, which failed to  added.
       for the current situation,   carry out turnaround maintenance (TAM) on   Meanwhile,  he suggested that more  oil
       rather than theft, though   the plants for several decades, leading them to  should be produced and made available while
       he also blamed illegal   require major overhaul work.  also allowing oil marketers to import prod-
       refining.           Kyari noted that more than 200 illegal refin-  ucts. “There’s need to engage the [Central Bank
                         eries across the country had exacerbated the  of Nigeria] to create more dollars. Once we do
       WHY:              situation.                           this, dollars will be allocated for the import of
       Nigeria has long battled   NNPC operates three refining facilities on  automotive gas oil [AGO or diesel]. This will also
       with subsidies and is   behalf of the state, with a combined capacity of  dampen the effects of going to buy dollar in the
       now dealing with supply   445,000 barrels per day (bpd), all of which have  open market. So, you can have cheaper dollar
       challenges that maintain   been out of commission since 2019, leaving  and definitely it will affect the price.”
       the burden on state   100% of Nigeria’s active capacity in the hands   These comments jar with reports in May
       coffers.          of independent companies that operate small,  that quoted modular refiners as saying that they
                         modular facilities that currently have a name-  were unable to operate properly owing to issues
       WHAT NEXT:        plate capacity of 16,000 bpd.        acquiring sufficient crude supplies from NNPC
       NNPC has paid the first   Work has been signed off to rehabilitate the  while the company continued to sell its crude on
       instalment of a deal to   two refineries that make up the 210,000 bpd Port  international markets.
       acquire a stake in a new   Harcourt Refining Complex, with the 125,000   Appearing during the same gathering was
       650,000 bpd refinery,   bpd Warri Refining and Petrochemical Co.  Farouk Ahmed, CEO of the Nigerian Mid-
       which is seen as the   and 110,000 bpd Kaduna Refining and Petro-  stream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory
       saviour of Nigerian oil   chemical Co. also to undergo major repair work  Authority (NMDPRA), who also advocated for
       and product markets.  thereafter.                      the resurrection of Nigeria’s refining capabilities.
                           The billion-dollar projects have come under   While he noted that Nigeria, like other coun-
                         intense scrutiny, with politicians casting asper-  tries, was at the mercy of global fuel and product
                         sions about the Port Harcourt tender process as  markets for pricing, he suggested that greater
                         well as questioning investment in rehabilitating  foreign exchange be made available to “genuine
                         facilities that have a history of poor performance.  importers at CBN’s official rate”, the government
                           Against this backdrop, NNPC has hedged its  work to encourage the establishment of more
                         bets, making the first instalment of a $2.76bn  local refineries and LPG processing facilities to
                         deal to acquire a 20% stake in what will be the  meet domestic demands and raise LPG supplies
                         country’s largest refinery.          from local producers.

                         Blame game                           Dangote payment
                         In fairness to Kyari, his comments came in  CBN, NNPC and just about every other Nigerian
                         defence of local communities, blamed for either  stakeholder are pinning their hopes and invest-
                         siding with groups that have engaged with illegal  ments on the 650,000 bpd Dangote Oil Refinery,
                         refiners or not reporting such activity.  which is seen reaching full capacity in 2023.
                           “Community members are not the thieves.   Construction work at the refinery is complete
                         Absolutely not. Everything we are doing is to  and testing is ongoing ahead of the commence-
                         incorporate the communities into the process of  ment of refining operations, which the company
                         protecting these assets. The National Assembly  has said should begin by the end of this year at
                         in its wisdom also included [a] trust fund for the  540,000 bpd.



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