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AsiaElec                                     COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec










                         planner, announced on June 11 that solar and  of the country’s gas storage and transportation
                         wind power would enjoy price parity with coal-  capacity. This has led to shortfalls in supply, with
                         based grid supplies. The commission pointed  industrial consumption sacrificed in colder
                         to industrial breakthroughs and plummeting  weather to ensure homes do not freeze.
                         development costs as having allowed solar and   While gas demand is expected to continue
                         wind power installations to achieve fundamen-  growing until 2035, the country’s longer-term
                         tal conditions of grid price parity.  energy outlook will more heavily depend on
                           The National Energy Administration (NEA)  renewable energy solutions. Moreover, it is pos-
                         has set a target for solar and wind power output  sible that as this transition gains steam – and
                         to account for 11% of total power consumption  the energy security advantages of greater green
                         this year, up from 9.5% in 2020.     energy consumption become readily apparent
                                                              to both government and industry – that Beijing
                         What next                            may set even more ambitions targets in its quest
                          The central government has pushed coal-to-gas  to reduce its fossil fuel consumption.
                         conversion for years, first by striving to improve   The risk of such a political shift will likely
                         urban air quality and then as part of Beijing’s  come to weigh on investment decisions in new
                         wider carbon emission goals.         regional liquefied natural gas (LNG) capacity,
                           That push has seen the conversion millions  given expansion plans in the Middle East, North
                         of coal boilers often outpace the development  America and Africa. ™


                                                         COAL

       Indian coal production drops 2%





        INDIA            INDIA’S total coal production fell by 2.02% to  The 5% decrease follows a 3% fall in 2019, caused
                         716.084mn tonnes during the year to March  by a stuttering economy.
                         2021.                                  Coal-fired output fell by 51 TWh, or 5%,
                           The coal ministry said that of the total pro-  balanced by a 36-TWh (3%) contraction in elec-
                         duction of 716.084mn tonnes, 671.297mn  tricity demand and a 12-TWh (26%) rise in solar
                         tonnes was non-coking coal and the remaining  generation.
                         44.787mn tonnes was coking coal.       It found that the country’s traditional power
                           The public sector produced 685.951mn  generators, both state and private, face falling
                         tonnes, while the remaining 30.133mn tonnes  Plant Load Factors (PLF) and worsening finan-
                         was from the private sector.         cial prospects for fossil fuel generation.
                           Indian Coal Minister Pralhad Joshi said even   Indeed, coal accounted for almost 100% of
                         though the effect of the pandemic has been  the fall in electricity demand in 2020, suggesting
                         everywhere, the coal sector has shown its resil-  that it struggled to adapt to changing demand
                         ience reflecting the criticality of its contribution  patterns, unlike the country’s solar and wind
                         to the steady development of India’s economy.  capacity.
                           Coal secretary Anil Kumar Jain said that coal   State-owned Coal India Ltd (CIL) alone
                         forms the backbone of India’s energy system as it  accounts for 83.26% of coal production in the
                         contributes to nearly 58% of the country’s com-  country.
                         mercial primary energy supply and coal-based   The state of Chhattisgarh registered highest
                         power forms more than 70% of power generated  coal production at 158.409mn tonnes, followed
                         in the country.                      by Odisha with 154.150mn tonnes, Madhya
                           While coal output fell by 2%, the country’s  Pradesh with 132.531mn tonnes and Jharkhand
                         coal-fired generation fell by 5% in 2020, the sec-  with 119.296mn tonnes.
                         ond annual decline in a row, suggesting that the   Electricity is the biggest driver of India’s car-
                         COVID-19 inspired decline in demand for elec-  bon emissions due to its reliance on coal. With
                         tricity could be a turning point in the country’s  74% of power generating capacity, coal-fired
                         transition away from its reliance on the fuel.  power is the source of one-third of the country’s
                           Coal was the generating fuel to be hit the  total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
                         most by the fall in demand for electric, UK-based   Although coal forms a key plank of the coun-
                         think-tank Ember said in a recent report.  try’s energy sector, the government wants to
                           The report found that the 5% drop in  increase the share of non-fossil fuel energy in its
                         coal-generated power was the result of both fall-  total energy mix to 40% by 2030.™
                         ing demand a steady increase in solar generation.



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