Page 11 - AsiaElec Week 08 2022
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AsiaElec                                     COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec














































                         review resources laws and agreements as a pri-  P’nyang, while Santos has 38.5% and JX Nippon
                         ority, with a view to obtaining greater benefits for  owns a 12.5% stake. Local media reported this
                         the country. Indeed, the Papua LNG deal had to  week that under the new agreement, the PNG
                         be renegotiated, with a new fiscal stability agree-  government would have a 34.5% equity stake in
                         ment unveiled in early 2021. Meanwhile, talks  the project – significantly higher than its 22.5%
                         between the PNG government and ExxonMobil  interest in Papua LNG and 19.6% in the original
                         over the expansion of PNG LNG and the devel-  PNG LNG.
                         opment of P’nyang stalled repeatedly, leading to   The reports said ExxonMobil had agreed to
                         considerable doubt over the project’s fate.  sell 12% at “fair market price” to PNG parties.
                           Oil Search – then a partner in both projects –  However, a larger proportion of the equity stake
                         said in late 2020 that it would focus on advancing  in the field would need to be sold in order for
                         Papua LNG alone, having previously been pur-  PNG to take 34.5% in the field. Thus the new
                         suing a twinned development of both facilities.  ownership structure when accounting for PNG’s
                           The original plans called for the addition of  stake in the project still needs to be confirmed.
                         three trains – two at Papua LNG and one at PNG   Meanwhile, Reuters also reported that the
                         LNG – as an integrated development, with the  government had secured a take of 63% under
                         two projects located next to each other and shar-  the P’nyang gas field deal, compared with 49%
                         ing infrastructure. But when plans to develop  in PNG LNG and 51% in Papua LNG.
                         the additional train at PNG LNG looked par-  “This is a massive win ... and also sets a new
                         ticularly uncertain, Oil Search indicated that it  benchmark for future negotiations,” the PNG
                         would turn its attention to what would initially  Prime Minister’s Office said.
                         be a two-train development at Papua LNG. It   Development of P’nyang is proposed to begin
                         cited interest from all parties involved in simpli-  after the 5.4mn tonne per year (tpy) Papua LNG
                         fying plans for expansion of PNG’s liquefaction  project is brought online, which is currently tar-
                         capacity.                            geted for 2027. The field is estimated to hold 4.36
                           Following this week’s breakthrough, though,  trillion cubic feet (123bn cubic metres) and is
                         the prospects for P’nyang’s development and the  anticipated to take about four years to develop
                         expansion of PNG LNG have improved consid-  once construction starts.
                         erably. However, the project now looks different   PNG LNG currently has a nameplate capac-
                         compared with the original proposal, having  ity of 6.9mn tpy, but can produce up to 8.5mn
                         become decoupled from Papua LNG during  tpy at its peak. The breakthrough for P’nyang
                         negotiations over the past couple of years.  comes at a time when LNG demand is rising. In
                                                              its annual LNG market outlook this week, Shell
                         What next?                           said it anticipated demand for the super-chilled
                          ExxonMobil currently owns a 49% interest in  fuel almost doubling to 700mn tpy by 2040.™



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