Page 12 - CE Outlook Regions 2022
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alternative to vote out Viktor Orban from power.


                               Fidesz and its communication spin doctors are dissecting every
                               comment by Marki-Zay, who once said he would end fixed utility
                               prices introduced by the Orban government before the 2014
                               election, which has resulted in Hungary having one of the lowest
                               residential energy prices in Europe. Later, he backtracked from
                               his comments, which reflect how difficult it will be for the
                               opposition to get its messages across in a media arena
                               dominated by Fidesz and to launch reforms that might lead to tax
                               hikes.


                               Opposition parties are united over weeding out corruption and
                               joining the European public prosecutor’s office (EPPO) but
                               questions abound as to how to overcome regulations requiring a
                               two-thirds majority, such as the Basic Law or the rewritten
                               Constitution. The ruling party says the opposition will create a
                               constitutional crisis if it amends regulations requiring a
                               supermajority with a simple majority. Fidesz has packed state
                               bodies and institutions with loyalists, with mandates spanning
                               several government terms, including the Competition Office, the
                               media watchdog, the National Election Committee and the
                               Constitutional Court. With a two-thirds majority, lawmakers can
                               easily approve the successor of President Janos Ader, whose
                               mandate ends just weeks before the election.


                               Feeling the pressure from the united opposition, Fidesz has
                               unleashed an unprecedented spending campaign promising tax
                               rebates for families, a 13-month pension bonus and six months of
                               extra wages for the armed forces, and personal tax exemption for
                               young people.


                               In the election campaign, the ruling party will campaign on the
                               importance of stability and will ramp up its propaganda machine
                               in an effort to discredit and divide the opposition alliance. Fidesz
                               is taking advantage of the unpopularity of former prime minister
                               Ferenc Gyurcsany, who is seen as pulling the strings behind the
                               opposition alliance.


                               The European Commission has been taking a tougher stance
                               against Hungary by holding back Recovery and Resilience
                               Facility funding and these conflicts could drag on until the April
                               elections. French President Emmanuel Macron promised the
                               Hungarian opposition that the rule of law mechanism would be
                               triggered during the French presidency from January 1.








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