Page 12 - NorthAmOil Week 36
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NorthAmOil                                    COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil


                                                                                                  Biden has said he
                                                                                                  would seek to ban
                                                                                                  new drilling on federal
                                                                                                  land, but would allow
                                                                                                  fracking to continue.































                         to consultancy Rystad Energy. Permits for wells  oppose a fracking ban.
                         on state and private land in the state are reported   In March, Biden caused confusion during the
                         to have decreased, meanwhile, despite the simi-  Democratic debate by saying he would not sup-
                         lar geology of the land in question.  port “new fracking”, but his team later claimed
                           Matador and EOG are estimated to have  that those comments referred to his plan to end
                         been two of the most aggressive shale drillers  new drilling on federal land.
                         in acquiring federal permits in New Mexico.   Biden’s climate plan is not as bold as the pro-
                         According to EOG’s latest earnings call, it has  posals put forward by some of the other Dem-
                         2,500 permits on federal land across four states  ocratic challengers earlier in the race for the
                         that have either been approved already or were  party’s nomination. Nonetheless, it is still the
                         in progress as of early August. EOG’s chief oper-  most ambitious climate plan ever put forward
                         ating officer, Billy Helms, said this amounted to  by a presidential nominee, and includes a goal to
                         more than four years of inventory.   reach net zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
                           Rystad estimates that EOG’s permits in New  by 2050.
                         Mexico’s Eddy and Lea counties – the epicentre
                         of Permian drilling in te state – are up 49% so far  What next?
                         this year compared with the whole of 2019.  Even if Biden does win the presidency there
                           Matador, for its part, anticipates having 300  is no guarantee that he would succeed in ban-  Even if Biden
                         federal permits by late 2020. In Eddy and Lea  ning new federal permitting, as the move would
                         counties, its new federal permits are up by 149%  likely receive substantial pushback in Congress,   does win the
                         so far this year compared with all of 2019.  especially from representatives of major oil- and   presidency
                           “We think the chances of them saying you  gas-producing states. If such a ban is enacted,
                         can’t drill on your leasehold are fairly slim,” Mat-  though,  New  Mexico  would  be  the  worst   there is no
                         ador’s CEO, Joseph Foran, said on the company’s  affected, followed by Wyoming and Colorado,
                         earnings call in late July.          where 37% and 11% of production respectively  guarantee that he
                           Federal permits cover a period of two years  comes from federal acreage.
                         and can currently be extended for another two,   In late 2019, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts   would succeed
                         but some producers have raised the possibility  suggested that a ban on new drilling on federal   in banning
                         that this could change in the future.  land would put pressure on Permian producers,
                                                              including EOG, as well as WPX Energy and   new federal
                         No fracking ban                      Concho Resources.
                         This comes as Biden has provided assurances   New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan   permitting.
                         that he would not seek to ban the use of hydraulic  Grisham, a Democrat, has said she would ask
                         fracturing if he wins the election. His comments  for a waiver exempting the state from any future
                         came in response to allegations by Trump that  drilling bans. How successful such a move would
                         Biden would indeed seek to ban the practice.  be remains to be seen, but there is little doubt
                         Biden made the assurances during a speech  that industry bodies and certain states would
                         in the swing state of Pennsylvania, which is a  push hard to be able to continue drilling on fed-
                         leading shale gas producer and would strongly  eral land if a ban is brought in.™



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