Page 11 - GLNG Week 42
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GLNG                                         COMMENTARY                                               GLNG




       Philippines lifts upstream





       moratorium in disputed waters







       With production projected to dry up from the giant Mahakam gas field, Manila

       hopes to be able to bring a replacement on stream within the next few years



        POLICY           THE Philippines has lifted a six-year morato-  Manila and Beijing have been negotiating for
                         rium on exploration in disputed waters of the  years over the joint exploration of the disputed
       WHAT:             South China Sea in response to growing con-  waters, with both sides eager to begin develop-
       Philippine President   cerns over the country’s future energy security.  ment while reluctant to give any ground over
       Rodrigo Duterte has lifted   The country relies heavily on the giant  sovereignty.
       a six-year moratorium   Malampaya offshore natural gas field to power   Duterte has courted controversy at home for
       covering blocks in   several thermal power plants (TPPs) on the  his more relaxed approach to China’s claim over
       disputed waters.  main island of Luzon. However, with the field  areas that lie within the Philippines exclusive
                         anticipated to begin running dry over the next  economic zone (EZZ).
       WHY:              few years, the government has turned to LNG   The president has repeatedly sidelined the
       The country’s domestic   imports to help plug the gap.  Permanent Court of Arbitration’s (PAC) ruling
       gas production is set to   This will eventually see the Philippines  in 2016 that dismissed much of China’s claim to
       decline rapidly in the   become heavily reliant on foreign supplies of the  the South China Sea in order to proceed with
       coming years.     fuel, given local opposition to coal-fired power  negotiations surrounding joint exploration of
                         generation and the lack of nuclear-powered  contested waters. Beijing has refused to recog-
       WHAT NEXT:        alternatives, as the country continues to transi-  nise the ruling, preferring to ramp up its mili-
       PNOC hopes to bring new   tion towards renewable energies.  tary presence within the region instead.
       fields on stream by 2026,   Relying on foreign hydrocarbon supplies   Duterte has argued that the Philippines needs
       but possible investment   inevitably raises some serious questions about  to negotiate with Beijing rather than adopt a
       hurdles could scupper   national energy security, given rising tensions  unilateral approach, raising the spectre of an
       this goal.        along trade routes in the South China Sea as well  unwinnable war as a consequence of a more
                         as market volatility that can result in a seesawing  aggressive policy.
                         of energy prices.                     However, politics are not the only motivator
                                                              behind the decision to open the door to explo-
                         Lifting the ban                      ration, with Manila increasingly concerned by
                         By lifting the moratorium on exploration drilling  an imminent decline of national gas production.
                         and seismic data acquisition in waters that both   “With the impending depletion of our natural   With the field
                         China and the Philippines claim, which Manila  gas reserves in Malampaya, it is the department’s
                         has dubbed the West Philippine Sea (WPS), Phil-  position that there is an urgent imperative to   anticipated to
                         ippine President Rodrigo Duterte hopes to kill  resume exploration, development and produc-  begin running
                         two birds with one stone.            tion activities within our EEZ to ensure conti-
                           “[Duterte] has approved the recommenda-  nuity of supply of indigenous resources in the   dry over the next
                         tion of the Department of Energy [DOE] to  country,” Cusi said.
                         lift the suspension of petroleum activities and                            few years, the
                         the resumption of petroleum exploration in  Seizing the initiative
                         the WPS,” Energy Secretary Alfonso Cusi told  Cusi said the DOE had issued “resume-to-work   government has
                         reporters on October 15.             notices” to service contractors working in ser-  turned to LNG
                           Cusi said China National Offshore Oil Corp.  vice contracts (SC) 57, 59, 72 and 75, after explo-
                         (CNOOC) as well as state-run Philippine  ration efforts were suspended on the back of   imports to help
                         National Oil Co. (PNOC) and privately owned  strained bilateral relations.
                         Udenna Energy and PXP Energy stood to gain   Forum Energy, a subsidiary of PXP, operates   plug the gap.
                         immediately from the ban being lifted.  SC 72 with a 70% stake and has been in talks
                           “We need to explore, so we may address the  with CNOOC over the acreage for a number of
                         country’s energy security,” Cusi said. He added:  years. PXP notes on its site that the licence has
                         “The lifting of the moratorium was arrived at  been under force majeure since December 2014,
                         in good faith and with full regard to the ongo-  owing to the South China Sea dispute, but that
                         ing negotiations between the Philippines and  Forum aims to drill two wells over the Sampa-
                         China, and Forum Ltd and CNOOC.”     guita field.



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