Page 15 - EurOil Week 15 2022
P. 15

EurOil                                       COMMENTARY                                               EurOil


                         with Albania in third place with 84% and Aus-  leave a total of 51 bcm of Russian gas imports to
                         tria, Sweden, Denmark, Portugal and Latvia all  cover, which the think-tanks believe can be met
                         now producing more than half their power from  by existing resources.
                         renewables.                            “Net imports of fossil gas are projected to
                           The Ukraine war has accelerated the EU’s  reduce by 32 bcm from 2020 levels by 2025 with
                         plans to wean Europe of Russian gas and set  the full implementation of the “Fit for 55” policy
                         a new ambitious target of being gas free by  package (MIX scenario). We find that this can be
                         2025 without resorting to restarting coal-fired  further decreased by 69 bcm through clean and
                         power stations or using more gas imports from  efficiency solutions,” Ember said in its report.
                         other suppliers, think-tanks Ember, E3G, Bel-  Renewable energy sources, predominantly
                         lona and RAP said at a briefing. They propose  wind and solar, are critical to weaning the EU off
                         accelerating the EU’s “Fit for 55” emission reduc-  Russian gas and fossil fuels, according to Ember.
                         tion plans and investing into more energy effi-  The current Fit for 55 target for wind and solar
                         ciency, heat pumps and similar technology, as  capacity by 2025 is 533 GW (229 GW above 2020
                         well as accelerating plans for more investment  levels).
                         into solar and wind.                   “We have identified that this can be increased
                           The proposals follow on from a statement by  by 158 GW to 691 GW by 2025. This equates to
                         the EU that it would reduce demand for Russian  31 bcm of reduced fossil gas demand, 20% of
                         gas by two thirds before the end of 2022. The new  Russian imports. Accelerated solar deployment
                         briefing described how it could call a total halt  is responsible for this substantial gain. Solar
                         to gas imports by 2025, if there was an “urgent  Power Europe has stated that permitting is key
                         EU-wide commitment” to making the necessary  to enabling the necessary huge uptick in solar
                         changes. The think-tanks, following the lead of  installations,” Ember said. “Our scenario also
                         the IEA earlier in March, drafted a 10-point plan  assumes wind capacity hits the target set out in
                         to end imports of Russian gas by 2025.  the “Fit for 55” proposal; however, deployment
                           If the EU follows through on its plan to reduce  is currently lagging, and this must be addressed
                         Russian gas demand by two thirds, that would  by the EU as a matter of urgency.” ™
                                             PIPELINES & TRANSPORT



       Poland moots ban on LPG



       imports from Russia





        POLAND           Poland will add LPG to the list of banned energy   Polish LPG consumption was 2.34mn tonnes
                         imports from Russia by the end of the year, Prime  in 2020, out of which 530,000 tonnes was domes-
       Poland want to end   Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said on April 14.  tic production. Of the remaining 2.04mn tonnes,
       Russian commodity   Morawiecki thus deflected a question about  Russia supplied 65%, or 1.33mn tonnes.
       imports by the end of   the government-backing majority in the parlia-  Other source countries were Sweden, Lithu-
       the year.         ment rejecting a proposal by the opposition-held  ania, Belarus – Russia’s ally, which is also on the
                         Senate to ban LPG imports right away, together  radar for boycotts and government-level sanc-
                         with coal.                           tions – and Kazakhstan.
                           The PM said that preparations must be made   The LPG sector in Poland believes that boost-
                         to implement an LPG import ban and that the  ing the utilisation of LPG terminals in Gdansk,
                         government was working on them as part of the  Gdynia, and Szczecin – Poland’s main seaports
                         wider plan to end imports of Russian energy  – should be enough cover for the shortage of
                         commodities by the end of the year.  imports from Russia, although at a higher cost.™






















       Week 15   15•April•2022                  www. NEWSBASE .com                                             P15
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