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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         She continued: “The country has suffered from   investment in Nigeria instead of other countries
                         unnecessary delays from the PIB. Investors are   and hence contribute to the sustainability of the
                         not making a lot of decisions because of the   oil and gas industry.”
                         delayed PIB. Available capital can only come   For its part, Royal Dutch Shell (UK/Neth-
                         into the country if people see that their invest-  erlands), another major investor in Nigeria’s
                         ments are secured.”                  hydrocarbon sector, has said it wants to see the
                                                              country adopt legislation that truly serves its
                         Support from local business leaders  interests. “We hope that the final bill would be
                         Nigerian business leaders are also pulling for   one that would unlock potential investments
                         adoption of the bill. Joseph Nwakwue, the head   that Nigeria’s rich resource base truly deserves,”
                         of the Nigeria Council of the Society of Petro-  a spokesman for Shell’s Nigerian operations told
                         leum Engineers (SPE), said last week that the   Reuters last week.
                         PIB could dispel widespread uncertainty about
                         the security of investments in the country. “We   The necessity of change
                         used to be a choice destination for investment,   The PIB is reported to contain provisions that
                         but I am afraid we have lost that place over time,”   will be attractive to investors such as Shell and
                         he told reporters in Lagos. “Key considerations   Total. For example, a draft summary of the bill
                         for investors are resource endowment/density,   viewed by Reuters last week streamlines oil and
                         fiscal terms, ease of doing business, et cetera.   gas royalty payments and also reduces the rate
                         We have slipped by most measures, but there is   of some royalties. The news agency also quoted
                         scope for a rebound if we get the PIB right.”  anonymous sources as saying that Nigeria had
                           He added: “The Minister of State for Petro-  taken a more “aggressive” approach than other
                         leum Resources, Chief Timipre Sylva, has said   African states to reducing the government’s
                         hopefully [the bill] will be passed before the   share of total oil revenues in the form of royal-
                         year ends. We are hoping and praying that this   ties, taxes and other fees.   “
                         happens.”                              This appears to represent a welcome change   The damage
                           Likewise, Michael Adebayo, the chairman of   from last year’s passage of amendments to the
                         the oil and gas sector team at the Manufacturers   Deep Offshore and Inland Basin Production   that the oil and
                         Association of Nigeria (MAN), stated last week   Sharing Contract Act, which has been widely
                         that he hoped the PIB would be signed into law   criticised as a revenue grab and as a threat to   gas sector has
                         quickly. The adoption of the law would greatly   investors’ confidence in Nigeria. But circum-  sustained in
                         benefit Nigerian manufacturers by increasing   stances – namely, the damage that the oil and gas
                         the amount of gas available for electricity gen-  sector has sustained as a result of the coronavi-  2020 has
                         eration, he said.                    rus (COVID-19) pandemic and the oil price war
                           “The government is working to make sure   between Russia and Saudi Arabia – have driven   driven home
                         that gas is available for domestic consumption   home the necessity of such change. This means
                         and must be sold in naira,” he was quoted as say-  that the bill does stand a decent chance of being   the necessity
                         ing by SunNewsOnline.com. “Before the end   adopted before the end of the year.  of change
                         of 2020, [if] the PIB is implemented, we would   As Ian Simm, principal advisor at the IGM
                         enjoy maximum benefit and the nation’s econ-  Energy consultancy, told AfrOil: “Nigeria has
                         omy would experience a boom because more   been trying to pass the PIB into law since 1999.
                         consumers of gas would emerge, gas would   Last year, Mele Kyari [group managing direc-
                         become more relevant to the Nigerian economy   tor of Nigerian National Petroleum Corp., or
                         than oil, and investment [would] improve.”  NNPC] said that failure to implement the leg-
                                                              islation was a ‘disappointment.’ But ‘farce’ would
                         Foreign investors weigh in           have been a more appropriate choice of words.
                         The bill also seems to have some support among   “When President Buhari came into power,
                         foreign investors. Mike Sangster, the managing   the government broke up the PIB into smaller
                         director of Total Exploration and Production   parts in an attempt to make the unwieldly pack-
                         Nigeria, a subsidiary of the French major Total,   age of regulations more manageable. However,
                         said earlier this week that the PIB was a neces-  even the smaller chunks have failed to be passed.
                         sary step towards securing new investment. “We   It could be argued that as long as the status quo
                         are keen to continue to invest in Nigeria and to   continued, there was a lack of incentive to enact
                         contribute constructively to the ongoing debate   the bill.
                         about the Petroleum Industry Bill,” he said dur-  “This time, though, Nigeria may find that it
                         ing the SPE’s Nigeria Energy Industry Transfor-  is forced to pass the PIB, given the upheaval the
                         mation Summit. “We welcome the efforts being   industry has faced. With oil and gas investments
                         made by the authorities to define a long-term   coming under increased scrutiny amid concerns
                         framework for the oil and gas industry.”  over returns as well as the growing importance
                           Sangster also stressed, though, that Total   to shareholders of ESG [environmental, social
                         wanted to be certain that the legislation pro-  and corporate governance standards] com-
                         vided “clarity and certainty,” as well as “attractive   pliance, African states have had to improve
                         terms and a win/win solution for the country   terms for developers to ensure their continued
                         and investors in order to entice sufficient capital   involvement. Indeed, much has changed since
                         in an ever more competitive world.”  the last [truly comprehensive] hydrocarbon
                           He added: “A progressive, win/win PIB   regulations were implemented in 1960, and an
                         could be the catalyst needed for a new wave of   update is long overdue.” ™



       Week 34   26•August•2020                 www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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