Page 8 - MEOG Week 45 2022
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MEOG                                      POLICY & SECURITY                                            MEOG


       US mulls its options after




       Saudi oil production cuts




        SAUDI ARABIA     DESPITE its furious reaction to Saudi Arabia’s   In the days that followed the cuts the Saudis
                         decision last month to cut oil production in the  publicly countered that the administration had
                         face of global shortages, and threats of retali-  asked for the cuts to be delayed by a month,
                         ation, the Biden administration is looking for  indirectly suggesting that Biden wanted to
                         signs that the tight, decades-long security rela-  avoid increased prices at the gas pump before
                         tionship between Washington and Riyadh can  the upcoming US midterm elections. National
                         be salvaged.                         Security Council spokesman John Kirby advised
                           Those ties, and a commitment to help protect  reporters that the Saudis were trying to “spin” the
                         its strategic partners – particularly against Iran –  US concerns over Ukraine and world energy sta-
                         are an integral part of US defences in the Middle  bility into a domestic political ploy, and to deflect
                         East. When recent intelligence reports warned  criticism of fence-sitting on Russia’s war.
                         of imminent Iranian ballistic missile and drone   Many lawmakers, some of whom have long
                         attacks on targets in Saudi Arabia, the US Central  advocated cutting ties with the Saudis, took even
                         Command launched warplanes based in the Per-  greater umbrage, calling for the immediate with-
                         sian Gulf region towards Iran as part of an overall  drawal of thousands of US troops stationed in
                         elevated alert status of US and Saudi forces. The  the kingdom and a stop to all arms sales, among
                         scrambling of the jets, dispatched as an armed  other punitive measures.
                         show of force and not previously reported, was   But the White House has become uneasy over
                         the latest illustration of the strength and impor-  the reaction its sharp response has provoked at
                         tance of a partnership the administration has  home. Rather than moving quickly to respond,
                         said it is now re-evaluating.        it is playing for time, looking for ways to bring
                           “There’s going to be some consequences for  the Saudis back into line while preserving strong
                         what they’ve done,” President Biden said after  bilateral security ties.
                         the Saudis agreed last month, at a meeting of the   “Are we rupturing the relationship? No,” said
                         OPEC Plus energy cartel they chair, to cut pro-  a senior administration official, speaking on the
                         duction by 2mn barrels per day (bpd).  condition of anonymity about what has become
                           According to the White House, the cuts serve  a sensitive political and diplomatic situation.
                         only to increase prices, and would benefit car-  “We had a fundamental disagreement on the
                         tel member Russia at precisely the moment the  state of the oil market and the global economy,
                         United States and its allies were trying to choke  and we are reviewing what transpired. But we
                         off Moscow’s oil revenue to undercut its war in  have important interests at stake in this relation-
                         Ukraine.                             ship,” the official said.™


       US targets Iran, Hezbollah




       oil smuggling networks





        IRAN             THE US has targeted members of an alleged oil  the process aimed at restoring the 2015 nuclear
                         smuggling network working for the extra-terri-  deal, or JCPOA. However, with that process
                         torial Al-Quds force of Iran’s Islamic Revolution-  derailed and Iran angering Washington with its
                         ary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Shi’ite Lebanese  often brutal crackdown on anti-regime protest-
                         group Hezbollah.                     ers and apparent provision of strike drones to
                           In a statement, the Office of Foreign Assets  Russian forces fighting in Ukraine, OFAC offi-
                         Control (OFAC), part of the US Treasury  cials appear to have renewed attempts at target-
                         Department, said it has designated members  ing Iranian grey market revenue flows.
                         of the network that facilitated oil trading for   “Market participants should be vigilant of
                         Al-Quds and Hezbollah.               Hizballah and the IRGCQF’s attempts to gener-
                           In the year leading up to the summer, the  ate revenue from oil smuggling to enable their
                         US was unusually lax in the pursuit of sanctions  terrorist activities around the world,” said Brian
                         enforcement against the Iranian regime’s crude  Nelson, the US Treasury’s Under Secretary
                         oil exports. Analysts saw this approach as part  for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence in a
                         of an attempt to encourage Tehran to play ball in  statement.™



       P8                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 45   09•November•2022
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