Page 5 - AfrOil Week 25 2022
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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         Earlier this year, Minister for Public Enterprises   Cabinda (60,000 bpd), Soyo (100,000 bpd) and
                         Joshua Cudjoe said the government was seeking   Lobito (200,000 bpd).
                         strategic partners willing to provide the capital   Meanwhile, in Nigeria, the national oil com-
                         required to rehabilitate TOR, which still requires   pany (NOC), now known as Nigerian National
                         extensive repair work.               Petroleum Co. Ltd (NNPC Ltd), is expecting to
                                                              bring 50,000 bpd of capacity back on stream at
                         Rallying call                        its Port Harcourt refinery next year, as part of
                         Similar calls have been levelled at the govern-  a wider, multi-billion-dollar plan to breathe life
                         ment of Morocco to revive the 200,000 bpd   into four underutilised and poorly maintained
                         Societe Anonyme Marocaine de l’Industrie   refineries with a combined capacity of 445,000
                         du Raffinage (SAMIR) unit at Mohammedia,   bpd.                            New refineries
                         which has been idle since 2015.        By far the largest and most significant of the
                           Calls for the facility’s reactivation have been   additions will come from the 650,000 bpd Dan- suited to process
                         relatively common over the past few years but   gote refinery and petrochemicals complex at
                         have intensified amid accusations that the refin-  Lekki near Lagos. This facility is being built by   various crude
                         ery’s closure is a key factor in the high pump   the privately owned Dangote Group but is par-  grades are a
                         prices faced by Moroccans.           tially owned by the government.
                           SAMIR’s doors closed as debts had left it una-  Details about the plant, which is now seen   significant shot
                         ble to finance fresh purchases of crude feedstock,   coming into operations in early 2023 at a
                         and Saudi-Ethiopian majority owner Mohamed   reduced capacity of 540,000 bpd when it is   in the arm for
                         al-Amoudi reneged on a promised capital injec-  fully commissioned, emerged when an internal
                         tion. Al-Amoudi’s Sweden-based Corrall Petro-  document was leaked to local media last week.   intra-continental
                         leum Holdings held a 67% stake in the company.  The document said that the refinery has been   fuel trade
                           In late September 2016, Corrall’s legal ave-  designed to handle grades of African crude,
                         nues were exhausted, as the Court of Cassation   several Middle Eastern grades and US light oil
                         confirmed the verdict, ruling that the wind-up   (LTO).
                         should proceed. Creditors owed part of SAMIR’s   It added that the feedstock would be pro-
                         estimated MAD44bn ($4.6bn) debt queued up   cessed to produce gasoline (33,571 tonnes per
                         to have their claims validated by the courts in   day), diesel (15,197 tpd), jet fuel (14,849 tpd),
                         order to secure a slice of the proceeds from the   LPG (717 tpd), polypropylene (1,980 tpd) and
                         sell-off.                            other value-added fuels (5,154 tpd).
                           Various bids by investors have failed, and   All of these products are in high demand
                         while the energy ministry has said that reacti-  throughout the continent, and while the Dan-
                         vating the refinery will not be possible until legal   gote plant is expected primarily to benefit the
                         proceedings are concluded, there are fears that   Nigerian market, new refineries suited to pro-
                         the cost of resuming operations could be almost   cess various crude grades are a significant shot in
                         as high as constructing a new refinery.  the arm for intra-continental trade. As pipeline
                           The outlook appears almost as gloomy in   infrastructure continues to be developed, this
                         South Africa, where two of the country’s six   may provide new opportunities to struggling or
                         refineries (Engen and Sapref) have already shut   closed facilities. ™
                         down – likely permanently – a decision on the
                         fate of another (Natref) is due to be taken this
                         year, a fourth (Astron) is recovering from a fire
                         and another (Mossel Bay GTL) is struggling for
                         feedstock.
                           This leaves Sasol’s 160,000 bpd Secunda coal-
                         to-liquids (CTL) plant as the only fully func-
                         tional unit. This facility is even undergoing an
                         improvement programme.
                           However, South Africa’s conventional refin-
                         eries have been plagued by years of uncertainty
                         and this their operating environment will
                         become even more challenging in September
                         2023, once the Clean Fuels 2 (CF2) legislation
                         comes into effect, mandating the use of ultra-
                         low-sulphur gasoline and diesel products with
                         which existing units cannot comply.

                         Encouragement
                         The situation is somewhat rosier in Angola and
                         Nigeria, where a combined 1.49mn bpd or more
                         of new, upgraded or revamped capacity is set to
                         come into operation in the next few years.
                           The former country is nearing completion
                         of an upgrade and 25,000 bpd expansion of
                         the Luanda refinery as it closes in on the long-  Italy’s ATB Riva Calzoni delivered two hydrocracking
                         awaited addition of more facilities with plants at   processors to the Dangote plant in 2018 (Photo: ATB)



       Week 25   22•June•2022                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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