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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA








































                         (BAPCO) Sitrah refinery is largely dependent
                         on the Saudi-Bahrain A-B oil pipeline for feed-  talking about creating a state oil fund and hold-
                         stock, running primarily on around 225,000  ing an IPO in the style of Aramco. However, this
                         bpd of Arabian Light crude, which is delivered  and the gas roadshow are likely to be derailed
                         from processing facilities at Abqaiq, which clean  for the time being by global economic strug-
                         remove sand and sulphur from the crude.  gles. While the Aramco IPO was somewhat
                           BAPCO and Aramco commissioned phase  of a domestic success, it was a far cry from the
                         four of the A-B oil pipeline in 2018, taking total  international spectacle that was promised when
                         capacity to 350,000 bpd. The long-planned  the plan was first announced. Manama is short
                         $350mn link comprises a 112-km, 762-mm  on funds and the idea of such a listing will be
                         pipeline that replaces the ageing existing link,  appealing, but no Bahraini NOC will hold the
                         with the main engineering, procurement and  allure of Aramco, and expectations should be
                         construction (EPC) contracts apportioned in  tempered accordingly.”
                         2015.                                  While ADNOC has already been very suc-
                           The completion of the new conduit was a  cessful in divesting stakes in pipeline, distribu-
                         prerequisite for progress on a similarly long-  tion and refining assets, and Aramco is likely to
                         planned expansion of the refinery. The $6bn  find willing buyers for a stake in its pipelines,
                         refinery upgrade programme kicked off last year  Bahrain is undoubtedly a less attractive proposi-
                         and will increase capacity from 267,000 bpd to  tion, and may struggle for attention, particularly
                         360,000 bpd.                         given Nogaholding’s BB- rating by Fitch. ™
                           In May, Bahraini Oil Minister Sheikh
                         Mohamed bin Khalifa bin Ahmed Al Khalifa
                         declared that the BAPCO expansion was 50%
                         complete.
                           Al-Khalifa noted that Bahrain intended to
                         “make some of the oil and gas assets available
                         for the private sector,” suggesting that the coun-
                         try would follow in the footsteps of Abu Dhabi
                         National Oil Co. (ADNOC) and, more recently,
                         Saudi Aramco in selling or leasing stakes in
                         infrastructure and project management subsid-
                         iaries to bring short-term returns on long-term
                         assets.
                           Al-Khalifa added: “We have been talking to
                         the pension fund here, and the quality of the
                         assets we have are certainly part of what they
                         would regard as good investments; they have
                         good returns.”
                           Ian Simm, principal advisor at consultancy
                         IGM Energy, told MEOG: “Bahrain has been

       Week 29   23•July•2020                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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