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AsiaElec                                      COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec


       Fossil fuel consumption subsidies





       hit record $1 trillion








       Pain ahead for many nations in Asia and elsewhere as excesssive subsidies must
       be cut  before full and proper green transition can take place




        ASIA             ACCORDING to the International Energy  most vulnerable”.
                         Agency (IEA), worldwide subsidies for fossil fuel   The IEA found that oil subsidies grew by
       WHAT: Global fuel   consumption increased dramatically in 2022,  around 85%, while natural gas and electricity
       subsidies pass $1 trillion.  surpassing $1 trillion for the first time.  consumption subsidies more than doubled. As
                           This surge in subsidies was caused by energy  noted in the latest IEA’s World Energy Outlook,
       WHY:              market turbulence, which led to international  high fossil fuel prices were the main reason for
       Energy market ups   fuel prices soaring well above what many con-  upward pressure on global electricity prices,
       and downs behind   sumers paid. Consumption subsidies are energy  accounting for 90% of the rise in the average
       soaring prices.                price cuts for consumers, for example setting  costs of electricity generation worldwide. Nat-
                         fixed prices of retail gasoline.     ural gas alone accounted for more than 50%.
       WHAT NEXT:          The 2022 subsidies, driven by the global   The IEA only looked at consumption subsi-
       Phasing out of subsidies   energy crisis resulting from Russia’s invasion of  dies and did not account for production subsi-
       on fossil fuels crucial   Ukraine, were twice the levels seen in 2021 and  dies, such as tax breaks or direct payments that
       in move towards clean   almost five times those in 2020. This is accord-  reduce the cost of producing fossil fuels.
       energy use.       ing to the IEA in a just published report, Fossil   As long ago as 2020, before the current rise
                         Fuel Consumption Subsidies 2022.     in consumption subsidies, the International
                           However, the IEA found that the govern-  Monetary Fund (IMF) found that global fos-  The IEA has been
                         ment measures taken to protect consumers were  sil fuel subsidies were $5.9 trillion, or 6.8% of
                         not well-targeted, and although they may have  GDP, and were expected to climb to 7.4% of   monitoring fossil
                         helped to alleviate the impact of skyrocketing  GDP in 2025 as the share of fuel consumption   fuel subsidies
                         costs, they artificially maintained the competi-  in emerging markets – where price gaps are
                         tiveness of fossil fuels compared with low-emis-  generally larger – continued to rise. Just 8%   for many years,
                         sions alternatives.                  of the 2020 subsidy reflected undercharging
                           The finding of the report underlines the  for supply costs (explicit subsidies) and 9%   identifying
                         problem of governments dealing with high  for undercharging for environmental costs
                         fuel inflation, while still trying to encourage  and foregone consumption taxes (implicit   situations where
                         the energy transition. The fossil fuel spend-  subsidies).                    consumers
                         ing by world governments in 2022 – not just   The IEA has been monitoring fossil fuel
                         consumption subsidies but total spending  subsidies for many years, identifying situa-  pay less than
                         – was more than twice the total investment  tions where consumers pay less than the mar-
                         in renewable energy sources, according to  ket price of fuel. Preliminary estimates for   the market
                         BloombergNEF.                        2022 indicated that oil subsidies increased by
                           These rising consumption subsidies indeed  around 85%, while subsidies for natural gas   price of fuel.
                         contrast sharply with the Glasgow Climate  and electricity consumption more than dou-
                         Pact, which called for countries to phase out  bled, said the new report.
                         inefficient fossil fuel subsidies while provid-  Governments worldwide implemented var-
                         ing targeted support to the poorest and most  ious measures to mitigate the worst effects of
                         vulnerable.                          the energy crisis, such as fixing end-user tar-
                           The November 2021 Glasgow Climate Pact  iffs, capping fuel or electricity price increases,
                         effectively proposed to accelerate efforts to close  and introducing price ceilings. However,
                         the 2030 emissions gap by asking countries to  many subsidy reform programmes were inter-
                         align their commitments with Paris Agree-  rupted, and some countries extended existing
                         ment goals and with a just transition to net zero,  subsidies.
                         according to the World Resources Institute.  Nearly all of the consumption subsidies
                                                              identified were found in emerging and devel-
                         Consumption but not production       oping economies, with over half in fossil-fuel
                           The pact called on countries to “phase out  exporting countries. While most interventions
                         … inefficient fossil fuel subsidies, while pro-  in advanced economies did not meet the defi-
                         viding targeted support to the poorest and  nition of fossil fuel consumption subsidies,



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