Page 10 - AfrOil Week 18 2022
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AfrOil                                         INVESTMENT                                              AfrOil



                         After viewing documents relating to the agree-  for comment. But the arrangement indicates
                         ment, Bloomberg reported that Trafigura was   that the unpaid debts that were incurred by the
                         set to gain control over some of the revenues to   Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe would be trans-
                         be generated by nickel and gold exports of state-  ferred to the Finance Ministry, which controls
                         owned Kuvimba Mining House.          Kuvimba.
                           The latter is an asset reportedly linked to   The deal, drawn up by the London branch
                         local businessman Kudakwashe Tagwirei, who   of law firm Reed Smith LLP, says: “Kuvimba
                         was recently sanctioned by the US and UK for   would pay Trafigura $6mn a month and retain
                         alleged corruption.                  40% of payments to Freda Rebecca and Shamva
                           The news agency said that Trafigura con-  gold mines, as well as the nickel mines owned
                         firmed the deal and added that it ended a pre-  by Bindura Nickel Corp., in so-called collection
                         vious fuel-trading business relationship it had   accounts. Freda Rebecca, Shamva and Bindura
                         with Tagwirei in 2019, well before the business-  Nickel are subsidiaries of Kuvimba. Trafigura
                         man was sanctioned.                  would also have the right to approve buyers of
                           “Trafigura Zimbabwe has provided credit   the metal selected by Bindura and would have
                         on petroleum product deliveries into Zimba-  right of first refusal on the metal. It would also
                         bwe and is scheduled to receive payments,” the   have the right to buy the gold produced by Freda
                         trader said. “Trafigura operates a robust com-  Rebecca and Shamva.”
                         pliance programme, aligned with international   The payments, says the pact, will not be sub-
                         standards. In accordance with this programme,   ject to tax and documents will not be submitted
                         Kuvimba has undergone and satisfied our strict   to any authority in Zimbabwe. It has sections
                         KYC requirements.” It was referring to know-  that bar all parties involved from entering into
                         your-customer (KYC) policies meant to pre-  “any transactions with any person which is a
                         vent engagement with people involved in money   sanctioned person.”
                         laundering or other financial crimes.  Trafigura defended the use of such language,
                           Neither Tagwirei, Kuvimba nor the minis-  saying it was “common and prudent business
                         ters responded to the news agency’s requests   practice” in commercial arrangements. ™



                                                   PERFORMANCE
       OPEC+ unlikely to alter its course






            GLOBAL       FEW surprises are expected when the OPEC+   to 11.5mn bpd each, with the UAE’s rising by
                         group meets later this week to decide on June   332,000 bpd to 3.5mn bpd as Iraq and Kuwait
                         production targets as oil output struggles to   also receive uplifts of 150,000 bpd each, taking
                         keep pace with quotas and prices remain favour-  their baselines to 4.803mn bpd and 2.959mn
                         able for producers.                  bpd respectively.
                           Surveys suggest that OPEC production rose   However, with conflict in Ukraine raising
                         by just 40,000 barrels per day in April, despite   concerns about Russian exports and uncertainty
                         the group’s targets providing for an increase   about Kazakh flows owing to maintenance at
                         of 254,000 bpd. With this in mind, it appears   loading facilities, the group largely ignored the
                         highly unlikely that the wider group will come   potential combined hike of 1.6mn bpd, adding
                         near the 432,000 bpd hike targeted for May.  just 32,000 bpd to the now-customary increase.
                           Given the consensus on this figure, and the   Those fears persist while force majeure in
                         group’s enduring propensity for conservativism,   Libya has reduced output in the restive North
                         a similar target uptick is anticipated for June   African country.
                         quotas. Brent crude prices sat in a range of $98-  While there are also concerns about Chinese
                         108 per barrel during April, continuing to buoy   demand owing to lockdowns as the country
                         the coffers of exporters, with Saudi Arabia and   struggles to achieve its “zero-COVID” target,
                         Iraq providing particularly upbeat economic   stability has been the name of the game for
                         updates.                             OPEC and its partners. They appear set to keep
                           Last month’s meeting was notable by the   a steady course. ™
                         almost complete glossing over of a July 2021
                         agreement to heighten significantly the baseline
                         reference levels for the top OPEC+ producers
                         from May 2022. In August, the group began a
                         string of consecutive 400,000 bpd per month
                         increases, altering this approach for the first
                         time in April.
                           The July deal had provided the baselines for
                         Saudi and Russia to increase by 500,000 bpd



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