Page 4 - AfrElec Week 13 2022
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AfrElec                                       COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec


       Wind and solar growth must





       accelerate to keep pace with





       demand for power







         GLOBAL.         WIND and solar accounted for a record 10.3%  emissions and coal consumption.
                         of global electricity consumption in 2021, after   Coal-fired generation rose by 9% in 2021, or
                         solar generation rose by 23% and wind grew by  by 10,042 TWh, the biggest percentage rise on
                         14%.                                 record since at least 1985 and accounting for 59%
                           However, the transition needs to become far  of the total growth in demand.
                         quicker and to post higher growth rates in order   New coal records were set throughout Asia,
                         to phase out coal and reduce CO2 emissions.  where electricity demand boomed, including in
                           The good news is that 50 countries worldwide  China (+9%), India (+11%), Kazakhstan (+6%),
                         have now reached the 10% threshold for wind  Mongolia (+13%), Pakistan (+8%), the Philip-
                         and solar, with seven of them hitting the mile-  pines (+8%) and most likely Indonesia (data not
                         stone for the first time in 2021.    yet available).
                           The fastest climber in 2021 was Vietnam,   In 2021, coal power in the US, EU and Japan
                         where solar output ballooned by 337%, repre-  strongly rebounded compared to 2020, but
                         senting growth of 17 TWh, in one year, making  remained below 2019 levels. China’s share of
                         it the world’s 10th largest solar generator. This  global coal power rose from 50% in 2019 to 54%
                         allowed the Southeast Asian country to reduce  in 2021.
                         its share of fossil fuels and to drive emissions   The record rise in coal was not matched by
                         down by 6%.                          global gas generation, which expanded by only
                                                              1% in 2021. 62% of the world’s electricity came
                         Rising demand                        from fossil fuels in 2021, up from 61% in 2020
                         Green think-tank Ember said in its Global Elec-  – the first year since 2012 that fossil fuels’ share
                         tricity Review, released on March 30, that clean  has risen.
                         power now accounted for 38% of all electricity   China “is installing not only record levels of
                         in 2021, with solar and wind providing 10.3% of  wind and solar, but also installing record levels
                         total generation, up from 1% in 2020.  of clean electricity like hydro, nuclear and bio-
                           Global demand for power rose by 5%, with  energy, which means their coal generation will
                         29% of that growth being met by wind and solar.  start falling,” Ember’s global lead Dave Jones
                           However, other forms of clean electricity pro-  said, Reuters reported.
                         vided no net growth, with nuclear increasing but   “What’s not clear is how quickly that will be,”
                         hydro falling.                       he added.
                           The remaining demand increase was there-  Indeed, emissions from the power generating
                         fore met by fossil fuels. 59% of the electricity  sector rose by 7%, or 778mn tonnes, in 2020, the
                         demand rise in 2021 was met by coal generation  largest absolute rise ever, thanks to the record
                         alone. Gas and oil made up the final 10%.  expansion in coal and an increase in gas con-
                           As such, renewables still have much to do  sumption for power generation.
                         keep pace with rising demand for power, with   The main issue currently slowing the growth
                         the report finding that solar and wind need to  rate is on-the-ground constraints like permit-
                         grow by 20% every year by 2030 in order to meet  ting, and if governments want to supercharge
                         emissions targets and to keep net zero by 2050  growth they need to solve the problems that slow
                         in sight.                            deployment, Jones said.
                                                                “Wind and solar have arrived. The process
                         Coal growth                          that will reshape the existing energy system has
                         The review looked at annual power genera-  begun. This decade they need to be deployed
                         tion data for 209 countries between 2000 to  at lightning speed to reverse global emissions
                         2020, with 2021 data included for 75 countries  increases and tackle climate change,” Jones said
                         that together account for 93% of global power  in a statement from Ember.
                         demand.                                This 7% rise in power sector emissions must
                           Globally power demand rebounded in  turn into a 60% fall between 2021 and 2030 if
                         2021 after collapsing in 2020 because of the  the world is to stay on the International Energy
                         global pandemic, causing a record rise in CO2  Agency’s (IEA) 1.5-degree pathway.



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