Page 4 - FSUOGM Week 23 2022
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FSUOGM                                        COMMENTARY                                            FSUOGM




































       Azerbaijan eyes extra gas market




       share in Europe






       Azerbaijan is eager to expand its gas market share in Europe, but how much

       supply can it provide and how quickly?


        AZERBAIJAN       AZERBAIJAN is prepared to ship gas to new  institutions and related investments,” Gary
                         customers to help the continent wean itself off   Jones, BP president of Azerbaijan, Georgia and
                         Russian supplies, President Ilham Aliyev said  Turkey, said at the event in Baku.
       WHAT:             on June 1, noting that negotiations were already   Professor Brenda Shaffer, an expert on
       Azerbaijan is eager to   underway with potential customers.  Caspian energy and European energy policy,
       see the SGC system   Prospects for a growth in Azeri gas supply to  described SGC as scalable, explaining that it
       expanded.         Europe hinge on an expansion of the Southern  could be expanded at a low cost to close to twice
                         Gas Corridor (SGC), the network of pipelines  its current capacity.
       WHY:              that carry gas produced in the Azeri Caspian Sea   “The tightness of the European natural gas
       Prospects for the   as far as Italy. SGC’s final section, the Trans-Adri-  market is not a temporary development but will
       expansion have improved   atic Pipeline, is currently flowing at close to its  last for several years and create a stable demand
       since the EU declared   10bn cubic metre per year capacity, with this gas  source for additional gas supplies,” Shaffer said.
       its ambition to phase out   delivered to Italy, Greece and Bulgaria. But BP,
       Russian gas.      Azerbaijan’s SOCAR and other SGC sharehold-  Gas from where, and how quickly?
                         ers have proposed expanding the system’s capac-  While European demand may justify an expan-
       WHAT NEXT:        ity, potentially by a further 10 bcm per year, to  sion at SGC, another question is how much extra
       It will take some years for   provide supply to additional European markets.  gas supply Azerbaijan can provide to fill the
       extra supply to become   “Taking into account that there are now new  pipeline, and how quickly.
       available, however, and   challenges and new demands, of course, we are   At the very least, Azerbaijan would need to
       other import projects   already in negotiations with potential custom-  move ahead on the 5-6 bcm per year second
       in the meantime could   ers,” Aliyev said. However, Azeri officials at Baku  stage of the TotalEnergies-operated Absheron
       crowd out the expansion.  Energy Week on June 1-4 said that expanding  field. Absheron’s first 1.5 bcm per year stage is on
                         the country’s exports would require new invest-  track to start up later this year, but this supply has
                         ment and contracts, S&P Global reported.  been ring-fenced for the domestic market, where
                           “The role of the Southern Gas Corridor will  demand is rising quickly. But TotalEnergies and
                         grow, exports will be increased, and to achieve  SOCAR are yet to take a final investment deci-
                         these goals, work is underway to attract financial  sion (FID) on this second phase, and even if one



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