Page 5 - GLNG Week 09 2021
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GLNG                                         COMMENTARY                                               GLNG




       New Zealand studies





       LNG import feasibility







       The official Gas Industry Co. (GIC) is seeking to

       commission a study into the feasibility of importing

       LNG to plug gaps in national supply



        POLICY           NEW Zealand has found itself in the awkward   GIC  was  quick  to  downplay  the  import
                         position of studying the feasibility of importing  review, noting that it was simply seeking to
       WHAT:             LNG just three years after imposing a morato-  develop an energy supply model that could
       The country’s production   rium on new offshore exploration.  inform energy security understanding.
       is falling and it must   Gas Industry Co. (GIC), an official body   “It is in no way a step closer, it’s nothing to
       prepare for a potential   that works with the government on industry  do with a live proposal. It’s a scenario-building
       supply deficit.   regulation, requested proposals this week for  exercise,” a GIC spokesman told Stuff. “This is
                         a study into importing LNG to fill gaps in the  just part of a broader study. We’ve gone out to
       WHY:              national energy system. The request is part of  market this week for consultancies ... all we’ve
       The government’s ban on   a wider study into the gas market the New Zea-  done is asked [experts] to do some modelling
       new offshore investment   land Energy Ministry had requested, with GIC  around the security and certainty of gas supply.
       has robbed investors   expected to provide its Gas Market Settings  This is very routine.”
       of their appetite for the   Investigation by the middle of the year.  PEPANZ, however, was not convinced. CEO
       upstream.           News of the import study comes just weeks  John Carnegie argued that relying on Austral-
                         after it emerged that major gas user Methanex  ian LNG would likely drive up domestic energy
       WHAT NEXT:        had opted to shutter its plant at Waitara Val-  prices while also leading to higher emissions
       Dwindling gas supplies   ley, owing to insufficient gas supply, and that  connected to shipping.
       could see Methanex exit   developer New Zealand Oil and Gas (NZOG)   He said: “It means we’d be funding the Aus-
       the country.      had walked away from its Clipper exploration  tralian economic recovery instead of generating
                         permit.                              the jobs and royalties here in New Zealand. If
                           Industry group Petroleum Exploration  we’re going to keep using natural gas until at
                         and Production Association of New Zealand  least 2050 as the Climate Change Commission
                         (PEPANZ) described GIC’s investigation on  acknowledges, surely it’s better to produce it
                         March 3 as “disappointing but unsurprising”,  locally.”
                         before adding that importing LNG from Aus-  Carnegie added: “Local natural gas producers   The country’s
                         tralia would be “crazy when we have our own  are investing in their assets to enhance supply in
                         local resources here”.               the short and medium term, but beyond that we   upstream
                                                              need new exploration and the right conditions   potential
                         Supply stoush                        to encourage investment.”
                         The country’s upstream potential was severely                               was severely
                         limited by the government’s decision in April  Upstream challenges
                         2018 to ban all new offshore exploration. The  NZOG and Australian partner Beach Energy   limited by the
                         island nation made the decision without consult-  applied in February to relinquish petroleum
                         ing industry as part of its drive to reach net-zero  exploration permit (PEP) 52717 (Clipper),   government’s
                         carbon emissions by 2050.            which contains the Barque prospect. The Clip-  decision in April
                           However, the move has been questioned over  per permit is located in the offshore Canterbury
                         the years by critics, who argue that the coun-  Basin.                    2018 to ban all
                         try will still need gas as it makes the transition   Company CEO Andrew Jefferies, in his com-
                         toward a 100% green economy.         pany’s statement announcing the move, fired a   new offshore
                           Even the Climate Change Commission said  warning shot across the government’s bow, not-
                         in its draft advice to government in January that  ing that several challenges including the govern-  exploration.
                         natural gas played a “significant role in the elec-  ment’s “adverse regulatory settings for offshore
                         tricity system by backing up renewable genera-  exploration” had tipped the joint venture’s hand.
                         tion” and that eliminating this use case scenario   He said: “I expect it will not be the last off-
                         was “likely to be expensive for the size of the  shore acreage to suffer the same fate. [NZOG]
                         emissions reductions they deliver”.  believes a confluence of events including adverse



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