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AfrElec                                       COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec




       Africa promises long-term





       dividends to early solar investors







       There is a growing appetite to invest in renewables in Africa amid the energy crunch,

       with multi-year investment opportunities arising



        SOUTH AFRICA     ACROSS the African continent, electricity  players that recognise Africa’s untapped
                         generation from renewables has more than  potential.
                         doubled in the last 20 years, with Egypt and
                         South Africa leading the way. According to the  Constraints and challenges
       WHAT:             Western Cape Tourism, Trade and Investment  Many African countries have inadequate grid
       Early investment in solar   Promotion Agency (Wesgro), there is a growing  infrastructures designed only to accommodate
       power in Africa will bring   appetite to invest in renewables amid the energy  conventional energy sources, resulting in high
       long-term dividends,   crunch, with multi-year investment opportuni-  electricity losses and low supply quality, among
       energy analysts have   ties arising.                   other issues. This is also a barrier to the clean
       saidt               These opportunities stem from the conver-  energy transition. In South Africa, the conti-
                         gence of several factors, said Wesgro’s CEO,  nent’s most advanced economy, coal accounts for
       WHY:              Wrenelle Stander. International shifts to clean  84.4% of electricity production, according to the
       Africa has untapped solar   energy, the focus on energy security globally  Global Electricity Review 2022 by independent
       generation potential and   as a result of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the  think-tank Ember.
       growing energy demand  energy crisis in South Africa and the conse-  South Africa’s reliance on its ailing power net-
                         quent policy shifts at a national government  work of poorly maintained, ageing coal power
       WHAT NEXT:        level to deregulate the energy sector – have all  stations has resulted in the worst energy crisis in
       Investors will focus on   contributed to the rise of solar power, albeit out  the last 20 years. The country is struggling with
       affordable electricity   of necessity.                 rolling power outages, or load-shedding, cur-
       services through mini-   “The time is now for renewable manufactur-  rently applied for between six and eight hours
       and micro-grids and off-  ing,” said Stander.          daily. The measure, imposed by the state-owned
       grid renewable systems                                 power utility Eskom to save the grid from col-
                         Untapped potential.                  lapsing, is costing the economy ZAR899mn
                         Africa typically has many more hours of sun-  ($51mn) per day, according to South African
                         shine during the year than any other continent.  Reserve Bank (SARB).
                         However, despite this significant solar potential,   The energy crisis dominated President
                         penetration of solar power in Africa’s energy  Cyril Ramaphosa’s seventh State of the Nation
                         sector remains quite low.            Address (SONA) on February 9, during which
                           According to  the International Energy  he declared a national state of disaster with
                         Agency (IEA), Africa has 60% of the world’s best  immediate effect. According to Ramaphosa,
                         solar resources, but only 1% of solar generation  the state of disaster will enable the government
                         capacity. To achieve its energy and climate goals,  to provide concrete support to ailing businesses
                         Africa needs $190bn per year of investment  in the food production, storage and retail supply
                         between 2026 and 2030, with two-thirds of this  chains. These actions, he said, will include the
                         going to clean energy, the IEA has said.  rollout of generators, solar panels and uninter-
                           Historically, however, many rural and dispa-  rupted power supply technology.
                         rate communities throughout Africa have been   However, many energy experts believe that
                         excluded from grid-based electricity sources,  the national distribution system is ill-equipped
                         creating setbacks in development and pre-  to handle new generating technology, such
                         venting access to basic amenities. With many  as solar and wind. Their view is supported by
                         African governments recognising the need to  Andrey Melnichenko, a sanctioned Russian bil-
                         service the high levels of demand for electricity,  lionaire who made his fortune from generating
                         investors could discover new opportunities in  electricity by burning coal. In his opinion, South
                         helping these countries not only to access and  Africa needs to upgrade its coal-fired power
                         distribute electricity more equitably but also to  plants rather than focus on renewable energy
                         meet net zero emissions targets.     as the country’s national grid is unsuitable for
                           Leveraging these opportunities early is  green energy.
                         expected to pay long-term dividends to key   “The priority for the country should be first



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                       Week 07   15•February•2023
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