Page 11 - AsianOil Week 24 2021
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AsianOil                                       EAST ASIA                                            AsianOil








                           The problem now, however, is the afore-  how their import quotas were used was also
                         mentioned ballooning in capacity beyond the  carried out, with several teapots found to be
                         domestic market’s needs.             trading quotas to unqualified refiners.
                                                                Unusually, inspections have not been lim-
                         Oversupply                           ited to the state sector. The newswire reported
                         CNPC warned in April that global refining  last month that five state-owned companies had
                         margins in the short term were likely to feel  been ordered to report on their historic use of
                         some downwards pressure as facilities that had  imported oil.
                         been closed during the pandemic began com-  Top economic planner the National Devel-
                         ing back online.                     opment and Reform Commission (NDRC)
                           Given the above projections for Chinese  directed Sinopec, China National Offshore Oil
                         refining capacity, coupled with the fact that  Corp (CNOOC), Sinochem, ChemChina and
                         Beijing is pushing for greater decarboni-  China North Industries to information on their
                         sation of the economy, and it appears that  crude usage since they began crude imports.
                         more of the East Asian giant’s refined oil will  The companies were told to clarify whether they
                         eventually make its way to the international  had either resold crude on the domestic market
                         market and depressing global margins over  or processed imported oil at refineries under a
                         the longer term.                     tolling scheme that reduced their tax payments.
                           Indeed, CNPC has said the country’s fuel
                         exports could rise by as much as 33% this year  What next
                         following the addition of an estimated 14.74mn  Beijing appears to be tidying house while also
                         tonnes per year (296,000 bpd) of new capacity.  taking stock of the current market make-up, an
                           This is not just a problem for foreign refin-  essential step in determining the downstream
                         eries targeting the export market, however, with  sector’s next steps.
                         China’s state giants slowly being pushed out of   The information gathered over these last few
                         the domestic market. Beijing wants a competi-  months will likely determine how the govern-
                         tive domestic market, not one dominated by the  ment approaches crude imports for both private
                         private sector.                      and state players.
                           Rising domestic fuel supplies prompted the   While it is unlikely that state refiners will
                         central government to launch a series of inspec-  ever be saddled with import quotas, it may be
                         tions of Shandong Province independent refin-  that greater transparency will be required in
                         ers in April.                        their reporting. The country’s bigger private
                           Reuters quoted unnamed industry sources  refiners have had their eye on the lucrative
                         as saying at the time that the inspections  export market and, with a greater apprecia-
                         focused on plants that had pledged to close  tion of how the state-private refinery relation
                         ageing, inefficient facilities in return for  interplays, this could become a possibility for
                         import quotas. They added that an audit of  the biggest players.™





































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