Page 14 - FSUOGM Week 20 2021
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FSUOGM                                       NEWS IN BRIEF                                          FSUOGM

















       will reach at least 70%, he said.   30 that they would resign as of May 14.   our expectations, if less optimistic than
         Novatek may also build another four gas   The decision followed a scandalous April   some. We think the completion of NS2
       liquefaction lines with a combined capacity   28 AGM of Naftogaz where the Cabinet   remains a material catalyst for Gazprom
       of 26 million tonnes of LNG in 2024–2030,   decided to: 1) dismiss the entire supervisory   [shares]," BCS Global Markets commented
       Mikhelson said.                     board; 2) replace CEO Andriy Kobolev   on May 11.
         “The plans for 2024–2030 include   for Yuriy Vitrenko; 3) re-appoint all the   Previously various timescales indicated
       possible construction of four more   members of supervisory board.       that NS2 could to be finished no later than
       liquefaction… As I said, 80,000 jobs, and   According to lb.ua report, at the May 13   September, BCS GM markets reminds,
       we will load Zvezda with five tankers per   meeting the supervisory board members   while affirming a Buy call on Gazprom's
       year, which is about 26–30 carriers until   were asked to offer the conditions under   shares.
       2030. We calculated that this construction   which they would stay at their positions.   In early April, Pavel Zavalny, Head of
       alone will add 0.15% to the GDP annually,”   The next day, they listed such conditions,   the State Duma Committee on Energy, had
       he said.                            including preserving the authority of the   postulated that both lines of NS2 could
         Under a presidential order, the   five supervisory board members for one   be finished as early as June, while earlier
       company’s construction should account   year with immediate firing of the sixth   estimates had put Line B being finished by
       for loading of 64mn tonnes of LNG   member, Robert Bensh, and preserving   June and Line A, on which construction
       and for a total of 90mn tonnes of cargo   the current composition of the company’s   only recently restarted, seeing completion
       transportation through the Northern Sea   executive board for one year. Ukraine’s   in September (in-line with BCS GM
       Route, he said. Under a recently approved   PM had accepted such conditions, lb.ua   assumption).
       government ruling, Russia’s combined LNG   reported.                       "Given the negative headlines generated
       production should grow to 140mn tonnes   “News that five Naftogaz supervisory   around the line over the last few years, we
       by 2035, and Novatek’s new production   board members would resign as of May   think Nord Stream-2’s physical completion
       lines would contribute to that, Mikhelson   14 appeared in the same evening on the   – even if continued sanctions efforts by
       said.                               company’s website. Shortly [afterwards] it   the US government keep shipments from
         Novatek expects to switch into year-  was deleted from the website, suggesting   beginning immediately – will be positive for
       round navigation and cargo transportation   that both the PM and presidential office   Gazprom’s stock," senior oil and gas analyst
       through the Northern Sea Route in 2023–  found common ground with the insurgent   Ronald P Smith argues.
       2024, he also added.                supervisory board members. If their    Furthermore, as BCS GM expects Line
         The US $27bnArctic LNG 2 plant is   conditions have been fully accepted,   B indeed to be finished by mid-summer,
       expected to produce 19.8mn tonnes of   that would mean the new CEO Vitrenko   the de-risking of Gazprom’s stock could
       LNG per year. Novatek owns 60% in the   will have to work for one year with top   start well before construction on the entire
       plant, while France’s Total has 10%, China’s   managers appointed under Kobolev. This,   project is completed, be that in the summer
       CNOOC and CNODC have 10% each, and   as well as the apparent enmity between   or late September, Smith believes.
       Japan Arctic LNG, a consortium of Japan’s   Vitrenko and some of supervisory board
       Mitsui and JOGMEC, has 10%.         members, will limit Vitrenko’s ability to
                                           influence the processes in the company.
                                           Such potential sources of the conflicts   CENTRAL ASIA & SOUTH
                                           only add risks for Naftogaz' stability,” an
       EASTERN EUROPE                      analyst at the Kyiv-based Concorde Capital   CAUCASUS
                                           brokerage said in a research note.
       Naftogaz supervisory                                                     SOCAR schedules new

       board has reportedly found  Nord Stream 2 completion  bonds issue ‘to meet great

       common ground with the              expected end-Sept                    demand’

       government                          Russia's pipeline to Germany via the Baltic   PAzerbaijan’s national oil company SOCAR
                                                                                has scheduled a new bonds issue for the
                                           Sea Nord Stream 2 (NS2) may be completed
       Members of the supervisory board of   by late September, before Germany’s   domestic market, taking into account great
       Naftogaz (NAFTO) met with PM Denys   parliamentary elections on September   demand, Trend has reported citing company
       Shmyhal and the head of the presidential   26, according to Sergei Nechaev, Russia’s   unit SOCAR Capital.
       office Andriy Yermak on May 13 to discuss   Ambassador to Germany, as cited by   The issue of five-year bonds will
       possible options for the continuation of the   Vedomosti daily.          reportedly be released on September 20.
       board’s activity, lb.ua reported on May 14.   "The latest indications from high-level   ''The demand for the first SOCAR bonds
       Recall, five (out of six existing) members   Russian sources indicate NS2 should be   issued in the amount of $100 million has
       of the supervisory board declared on April   completed by end-September, in line with   more than doubled, and the volume of



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