Page 5 - AfrOil Week 48 2020
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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         Some successes                       Al-Monthiry’s remarks are in line with the state-
                         Even so, the company is not struggling on every   ment issued by Tullow before the Capital Mar-
                         single front.                        kets Day event.
                           It has chalked up a few successes this year,   In that statement, the company said that it
                         such as the finalisation of a farm-out transaction   was working to make the most of the “substan-
                         worth $575mn with France’s Total. As a result of   tial potential within [its] large resource base
                         that deal, it has been able to scale back opera-  associated with its producing assets, where
                         tions in East Africa, a region where it has run up   there is extensive infrastructure in place.” It also
                         against many challenges. It also reported a profit   said it hoped to start realising that potential in
                         and was able to meet production targets in the   the second quarter of next year, when it is due
                         first half of the year.              to launch the first phase of its investment pro-
                           Additionally, it was quick to appoint Rahul   gramme with a multi-well drilling programme
                         Dhir to the position of CEO, replacing McDade.   offshore Ghana.
                         And Dhir appears to be hopeful that the com-  The company continued: “In Ghana ... Tullow
                         pany is well on the way towards making up some   has produced just 400mn barrels of oil (gross)
                         of the ground it has lost over the last couple of   from 2.9bn of oil in place (OIP, circa 14%).
                         years, with the help of a new investment plan.  This plan, alongside a rigorous focus on costs,
                           Tullow unveiled that plan last week during   is expected to generate material cash flow over
                         a virtual Capital Markets Day event hosted by   the next decade, which the group anticipates
                         Dhir, along with CFO Les Wood, managing   will enable reduction of its current debt levels
                         director for Ghana Wissam Al-Monthiry and   and deliver significant value for its host nations
                         human resources chief Julia Ross.    and investors, [as well as] production growth
                           It also said in a statement issued beforehand   in the medium term and the ability to sustain
                         that it intended to focus on its oil-producing   production over the longer term. The first phase
                         assets in West Africa.               of investment will start in the second quarter of
                                                              2021, with the commencement of a multi-well
                         First priority: Ghana                drilling programme in Ghana.”
                         And according to a Reuters report published   Even so, Ghana and West Africa will not be
                         afterwards, the company’s strategy hinges on   Tullow’s only target.
                         upstream development projects in offshore
                         Ghana.                               South America and East Africa
                           Tullow’s Ghanaian assets include Jubilee, one   According to the statement, the firm is not
                         of the largest oil crude deposits discovered off   giving up entirely on South America and East
                         the coast of West Africa since the turn of the cen-  Africa.
                         tury, and Tweneboa-Enyenra-Ntomme (TEN),   In Kenya, it has already begun the process
                         a block that is home to three oilfields.  of re-assessing its upstream programme in the
                           Tullow acquired its stakes in these assets in   hope of drawing up new production plans that
                         2004, via its purchase of South Africa-based   remain viable when world oil prices are low. It
                         Energy Africa. Since then, the fields have   has also teamed up with its joint venture part-
                         become its largest productive assets, but they   ners to seek the Kenyan government’s permis-
                         have also been the source of some frustration.   sion to extend their licences until the end of
                         Earlier this year, Tullow reported a decline   2021.                      Tullow intends to
                         in reserves at Enyenra and said that Ghana   In South America, meanwhile, it is work-  spend $180mn
                         National Gas Co. (GNGC) was requesting lower   ing to develop a better understanding of the
                         volumes of associated gas from Jubilee and TEN.  prospectivity of specific basins – especially the   in Ghana next
                           Even so, it hopes to effect a turnaround   “emerging basins” where it holds “substantial
                         very soon. According to Reuters, Al-Monthiry   acreage in Suriname, Guyana and Argentina,”  year, more than
                         revealed that the company intends to spend   the statement said. It is, for example, reviewing
                         $180mn in that country in 2021, more than   potential drilling sites at the Orinduik block  half of its total
                         half of its total investment budget of $325mn.   offshore Guyana in the hope of improving its   investment
                         He also said Tullow would work to push associ-  chances of discovering light sweet crude oil. It
                         ated gas off-take levels at its Ghanaian fields up   also intends to join Israel’s Ratio Petroleum and   budget of
                         to more than 130mn cubic feet (3.68mn cubic   the other shareholders in Block 47 offshore Suri-
                         metres) per day as of next year.     name in spudding the Goliathberg-Voltzberg   $325mn
                           Over the long term, he added, the company   North-1 exploration well in the first quarter of
                         will drill dozens of new wells offshore Ghana. It   2021.
                         intends to sink 26 wells at Jubilee by 2030 and   Even so, these initiatives will be smaller in
                         will drill another 23 during the same period, he   scale than Tullow’s plans for Ghana, which will
                         said.                                absorb the majority of planned investments.
                           In the meantime, he noted, the company   They will also seek to minimise costs outside of
                         will also take the floating production, storage   West Africa, the company said in its statement.
                         and off-loading (FPSO) vessel that it is using to   “Tullow has considerable opportunities
                         develop Jubilee offline temporarily for mainte-  to unlock value in Kenya and South America.
                         nance. He did not say how long the maintenance   These require an innovative approach and a
                         period was anticipated to last.      deep geoscience and engineering expertise but
                                                              do not require significant capital investment in
                         High-value assets                    the evaluation phase,” it said. ™



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