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AfrOil                                        COMMENTARY                                               AfrOil














































                                                                        Sharara is capable of producing 300,000 bpd of oil (Photo: Alwasat.ly)

       Libya’s precarious position







       The country’s oil infrastructure is coming back on stream, but it may face another blockade soon




                         CONDITIONS in Libya’s oil sector, which has   Sharara, would be to deliver crude to the Zaw-
                         languished in the wake of fighting between rival   iya refinery. The 120,000 bpd plant has suffered
       WHAT:             political and military factions, have continued   severe shortages of feedstock in recent months
       NOC is optimistic about   to improve over the last week. Production lev-  but has already begun receiving oil from several
       its chances of pushing   els reportedly reached 355,000 barrels per day   of the fields that have come back on stream since
       production back up above   (bpd) on October 11 and are now poised to go   mid-September.
       1mn bpd.          even higher following the restart of Sharara, the
                         country’s largest single source of crude.  Higher and higher
       WHY:                Libya’s National Oil Corp. (NOC) confirmed   As noted above, the revival of development
       The lifting of the blockade   the resumption of commercial operations at   operations at Sharara is good news for Libya. It
       that kept oilfields,   Sharara on October 11, saying in a statement   also stands to benefit NOC, which is reportedly
       pipelines, refineries and
       terminals idle for months   that it had lifted the declaration of force majeure   looking to raise oil output back to the 2019 aver-
       was not a permanent   on the field.                    age of 1.2mn bpd.
       measure.            NOC did not say how quickly Sharara might   Additionally, it seems to have encouraged
                         be able to push output back up to 300,000 bpd,   Sadiq el-Kabir, the head of the country’s central
       WHAT NEXT:        the average level prevailing before the imposi-  bank, who said last week that he hoped to see
       Unless progress is made   tion of a blockade in January. However, an anon-  yields go even higher. According to el-Kabir,
       on revenue-sharing   ymous source told Reuters earlier this week that   Libya ought to bring production up to 1.7mn
       policy, LNA may put the   the field was coming back online at an initial rate   bpd as soon as possible so that it can cover all
       blockade back in place   of 40,000 bpd.                of its expenses.
       within days.        The source also said that the first priority   It remains to be seen, though, whether that
                         for Akakus, the NOC subsidiary that operates   goal is actually within reach.



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                        Week 41   14•October•2020
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