Page 5 - FSUOGM Week 04 2022
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FSUOGM                                       COMMENTARY                                            FSUOGM


















                                                                                                  YATEK's facilities are
                                                                                                  located in the west of
                                                                                                  the Yakutia region.























                         trains will be added at a later stage, ramping up  Sinopec and China’s Silk Road Fund hold 10%
                         production to 18mn tpy.              shares each in Sibur, while another Chinese
                           The problem is that YATEC’s fields are all  investor CEFC has a 14% stake in Rosneft.
                         located in the west of the Yakutia region, far    
                         away from the coast. The company therefore  What next?
                         plans to build a 1,300-km pipeline to connect its  While attracting the interest of a key Chinese
                         resources with the project site. The LNG will be  gas importer like Zhejiang is certainly a sign of
                         delivered to markets across Asia, but as the deal  progress for Yakutsk LNG, it must be cautioned
                         with Zhejiang indicates, the main focus is China.  that the project is still at a relatively early stage
                                                              of development. YATEC is yet to award a front-
                         Targeting China                      end engineering design (FEED) study, and by its
                         “The Asian-Pacific countries are the target sales  own admission, there is considerable explora-
                         direction for the company as part of our long-  tion work yet to be done. The company said last
                         term strategy,” Avdolyan said in a statement.  year its goal was to expand its reserve base from
                         “The Chinese gas market is one of the most  390 bcm at present to more than 1 trillion cubic
                         promising and fastest growing. Following the  metres in order to underpin the project.
                         climate agenda, our LNG will be one of the most   There are also reasons why only Russia’s larg-
                         environmentally friendly in the industry, which  est gas majors have so far managed to progress
                         fits into China’s strategy of achieving carbon  projects. They can face lower regulatory hurdles
                         neutrality by 2060.”                 and can wield their substantial influence in Mos-
                           YATEK is seeking to follow in the footsteps of  cow to secure financial and other support. It is
                         Novatek, which has struck a raft of LNG export  questionable whether Yamal LNG, for example,
                         deals with Chinese partners over the years. Most  would have gone ahead without the substantial
                         recently, it signed agreements earlier this month  tax breaks afforded by the government, not to
                         to deliver 1mn tpy of LNG to Zhejiang and  mention its funding for necessary infrastructure.
                         0.6mn tpy to China’s ENN.              It is clearly in Moscow’s interest to remove
                           Zhejiang’s potential investment in Yakutsk  these barriers to entry and allow a larger pool
                         LNG would also mark a further expansion of  of investors to develop LNG. Russia wants to
                         China’s footprint in the Russian oil and gas sec-  be producing as much as 140mn tpy of LNG by
                         tor. Chinese companies are already involved in  2035, which could make it the largest exporter in
                         Novatek’s Yamal LNG and Arctic LNG-2 pro-  the world. But it seems unlikely that the country’s
                         jects, and also hold shares in various Russian oil  leading gas firms will be able to reach anywhere
                         and gas fields. China’s Sinopec has also recently  near this target on their own. As such, liberalisa-
                         agreed to invest in a large chemicals complex  tion is needed to get as many competent devel-
                         that Sibur wants to build in the Amur region.  opers working on projects as possible. ™



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