Page 14 - FSUOGM Week 39 2022
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FSUOGM                                       NEWS IN BRIEF                                          FSUOGM






       and downstream segment exposure.    employment amounted to UAH104bn      reported as saying that the Netherlands
         BCS Global Markets remind that    ($2.82bn). A further UAH72bn ($1.95bn)   revoked its licence as of September 17.
       Tatneft’s highest production level in modern   failed to reach the state budget due to   "Suspend the execution of all contracts
       history was 29.8mn tonnes in 2019, and   changes to the tax and customs legislation   related to the technical support of the gas
       27.8mn in 2021, seeing the new 40.5mn   implemented when the invasion began.  pipeline," Aksyutin was cited as writing in
       tonnes target as “fairly aggressive target, but   Ukraine’s 2023 State Budget will see   the letter, "including design, manufacture,
       likely achievable”.                 a considerable increase in spending on   assembly, testing, repair, maintenance, and
         “Unfortunately, the onset of OPEC+   defence and security, accounting for 17.8%   training."
       production restrictions from 2017 limited   of GDP. Moreover, pensions, subsidies,   South Steam has the capacity to annually
       the company’s ability to fully meet its oil   payments to IDPs, assistance to low-income   deliver 33bn cubic metres (bcm) of natural
       output targets, but for brief periods it has   families and expenses for medicine and   gas. Turkey consumes half of that provision,
       shown an ability to increase output well   education will increase by UAH30bn.  while the rest is sent on a pipeline
       above typical levels,” BCS GM analysts   However, the spending on state   (sometimes referred to as Balkan Stream)
       believe.                            authorities will decrease by UAH11.6bn,   dedicated to deliveries via Bulgaria to the
         BCS GM sees the biggest remaining   meaning the number of officials, salaries   Balkans and Central Europe, especially to
       obstacle as logistical in the light of the   and bonuses will be reduced, with the   Serbia,  North Macedonia and Hungary.
       current sanctions regime for Russia’s   exception of law enforcement agencies.  RFE/RL pointed out that TurkStream
       military invasion of Ukraine and the                                     lies 3 kilometres below the sea in waters
       upcoming European embargo on Russian   “The State Budget 2023 is the budget of   with high seismic activity. It said specialised
       oil.                                a country in a war that has been suffering   ships frequently monitor the infrastructure
         Tatneft posted IFRS results for 1H22   significant losses for more than six months   for damage and make rapid repairs. The
       showing $10bn of revenues, $3.5bn of   due to the full-scale military invasion of   required monitoring and repair equipment
       EBITDA and $2bn net profit for the period.   Russia on the territory of Ukraine,” Minister   is mainly imported from the West.
       Tatneft was also the first company in the oil   of Finance of Ukraine Sergii Marchenko   The contract revocation meant that "no
       and gas sector to announce a post-Ukraine   said.                        one will be able to carry out repairs if a pipe
       invasion dividend..                    “The 2023 State Budget is the budget   is damaged, gas leaks, or if a part of the
                                           of a country that will become stronger,   pipeline comes apart due to an earthquake.
                                           strengthen its defence capabilities, be able to  In fact, the company has lost operational
       Ukraine's State Budget              rebuild after the damage caused by Russian   control over the pipeline, the Russian
                                                                                branch has lost contact with the corporate
                                           armed aggression, and also take care of
       severely weakened by                those citizens who need it,” he added.  centre," a Russian source at South Stream
                                                                                Transport B.V. informed RFE/RL.
       depletion of Russian gas            Report says Russian                  of using the Ukraine war sanctions imposed
                                                                                  Western countries have accused Moscow
       flow                                                                     on Russia by the West as a pretext to cut gas
                                                                                exports to Europe. Russia’s plan, they say,
       Ukraine has lost a significant chunk of   gas supplies to Europe         is to deal Europe severe economic blows
       revenue from the depletion of Russian   via TurkStream now               and potentially leave European households
       gas transit through the country caused by                                exposed to winter weather, thereby
       Moscow’s invasion, Ukraine Business News   endangered                    undermining support for the EU’s backing
       reported on September 20.                                                of Ukraine.
         After Russian forces occupied the   Russia is reportedly taking the position   The EU last year received 40% of its gas
       Sokhranivka entry point and damaged   that Western sanctions prevent it from   needs from Russia, but many member states
       pipelines, in addition to Gazprom refusing   maintaining the crucial TurkStream natural   now want to wean themselves off Russian
       to send enough gas, thereby breaking its   gas pipeline that supplies Turkey, countries   gas supplies entirely, seeing it has a now
       contractual agreement with Kyiv, Ukraine’s   in the Balkans and Hungary.  hugely unreliable supplier that has become a
       state budget only earned $94mn from    If the pipeline was to be shut down, it   threat to their energy security.
       Russian gas transit in the first half of 2022.   would exacerbate Europe's energy crisis,   Hungary Today on September 29
       This is a huge drop from the $3bn Ukraine   already this week worsened by mysterious   reported Hungarian foreign minister Peter
       earned during the whole of 2020.    explosions that have put three of the four   Szijjarto as telling a meeting of energy
         Currently, Gazprom is only sending   strands of the Nord Stream Russia-Germany  ministers from the Organisation of Turkic
       41mn cubic metres of gas per day through   two-pipeline system beyond repair.  States (OCT) in Almaty, Kazakhstan,
       the Sudzha pipeline, even though it is   In a letter to managers of South Stream   that without an operational TurkStream,
       paying for the amount of 109.6 mcm.   Transport B.V. on September 14—obtained   Hungary would be in big trouble.
       However, if Moscow entirely ceases gas   by media outlet RFE/RL—company director
       transit through Ukraine next year, Ukraine’s   Oleg Aksyutin ordered them to cease all   Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan
       state budget could take a hit of UAH11.15bn  work on TurkStream, including cancelling   has this week briefed reporters that he
       ($312mn) as the Gas Transmission System   contracts with Western suppliers.  foresees no problems affecting Russian gas
       Operator of Ukraine (GSTOU) will be    South Stream Transport B.V., a Dutch   supplies to Turkey this winter.
       unable to pay VAT and income tax to the   unit of Kremlin-controlled gas giant
       state budget.                       Gazprom that is responsible for operating
         From January to June 2022, it is   the underwater Black Sea pipeline that
       estimated that the loss from Ukraine’s   provides a key route for Turkey-bound
       imports, GDP, profits of enterprises and   and Balkans-and-Hungary-bound gas, was



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