Page 10 - AfrElec Week 27 2021
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AfrElec                                       COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec




       13,000 shovel-ready green





       projects could kick-start





       post-COVID recovery








        GLOBAL           13,000 shovel-ready renewable energy projects   Meanwhile, China surpassed its renewable
                         have the potential to provide 22% of the emission  energy installations record set in 2019 with an
                         reductions needed to meet the UN’s Paris goals  addition of almost 72 GW of wind power.
                         and 10mn potential new jobs, research from EY   In December 2020 alone, 48 GW of installed
                         and the European Climate Foundation (ECF)  capacity was deployed in China. China’s target
                         has found.                           of becoming carbon-neutral by 2060 has driven
                            The projects, based in 47 countries, will  this surge
                         provide a $2 trillion investment boom, 90% of   Investment could mitigate or reverse a sub-
                         which can be net by the private sector, and accel-  stantial proportion of the economic losses due
                         erate post-coronavirus (COVID-19) economic  to COVID across the countries included in the
                         recovery.                            study, and lay the foundation for sustainable
                            The projects offer governments a “no regrets”  economic growth driven by abundant, low-cost,
                         path to economic recovery, delivering emissions  renewable energy.
                         reduction, jobs and economic growth, and offer   The report found that GDP had declined in
                         an alternative to relying on fossil fuels to meeting  the 47 countries, which comprise around 88%
                         recovering energy demand.            of global GDP, by over $2.2tn in 2020, largely
                            The 13,000 projects, which cover solar, wind  caused by COVID-19.
                         and hydro, offer 1 TW of renewables generating   The pipeline of shovel-ready projects could
                         capacity and could avoid 2.5bn tonnes of CO2e  provide an injection of more than $1.9 tril-
                         emissions.                           lion into the global economy over a three-year
                            This would provide 22% of the UNFCCC  period, which accounts for 85% of the GDP lost
                         NDC (the Paris Agreement) emissions reduc-  in 2020.
                         tion target for 2030.                  The report estimated that this pipeline could
                            It would also account for 9% of the global  create a permanent recurring GDP contribution
                         emissions reduction target for 2030 set out by  of $60bn resulting from operation of the assets.
                         the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change   While the size of the opportunity varies coun-
                         (IPCC) to limit global warming below 1.5°C.  try to country, the median size of the investment
                            The report comes as the IEA warned in May  pipeline is equivalent to 28% of that economy’s
                         that the road to net zero by 2050 was “narrow but  2020 GDP loss due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
                         still achievable,” and that immediate and massive   Looking ahead, the report calls for govern-
                         deployment of green tech was necessary to fight  ments to put in place key policy enablers in
                         climate change.                      order to get the most out of a green recovery and
                            The report highlighted recent solar pro-  unlock the full potential of private investment in
                         gress in Vietnam, where rooftop solar capacity  renewable energy.
                         installed from 2019-2020 exceeded the visible   International co-operation and co-ordina-
                         four-year solar PV pipeline in 2018 by almost  tion as well as collaboration between the pri-
                         100%.                                vate sector and public sector are needed to take
                            Installations in rooftop solar PV capacity in  advantage of the shovel-ready projects.
                         Vietnam have increased by 2,435% since the   The report emphasised that this pipeline of
                         beginning of 2019, driven largely by a feed-in  13,000 investable projects could catalyse a green
                         tariff (FiT) scheme.                 recovery, and the reliance on public finances is
                            In December 2020, the FiT scheme was con-  minimal, with the private sector accounting for
                         cluded, leading to an increase in installed solar  up to 90%.™
                         rooftop capacity by 6.7 GW in that month alone.








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