Page 5 - AfrOil Week 27 2021
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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         At the time, Buhari said he expected members of   IGM Energy, also struck an upbeat note. “This
                         the House of Representatives and the Senate to   time around, there are signs that the PIB might
                         pass the bill before the end of the year. And ini-  stick, and with growing the pressure on listed
                         tially it appeared that legislators might meet this   companies to comply with more stringent reg-
                         deadline. They passed the PIB in the first reading   ulations, it could be make or break for Abuja,”
                         in late September and then passed it in the sec-  he told AfrOil.
                         ond reading in late October – only to postpone
                         the third reading indefinitely so that they could   Criticism – and a measured response
                         concentrate on drawing up a budget for 2021.  Some observers have been far more critical. For
                           Subsequently, Ahmad Lawan, the president   example, Chief Edwin Clark, the national leader
                         of Nigeria’s Senate, asserted that the delay would   of the Pan-Niger Delta Forum (PANDEF), has
                         not be lengthy. He declared in January that he   denounced the PIB’s provisions covering host
                         expected the National Assembly to pass the bill   communities’ allotment of oil and gas revenues.
                         in the third reading in April and then send it to   In an open letter delivered to Lawan and
                         the president for signature in May.  other prominent legislators, he described the
                           Somehow, though, the target date for the   decision to offer host communities a 3% or 5%
                         third reading kept slipping back – first to May   share of operating expenditures as “satanic and
                         and then to June. Finally, late last month, mem-  unjust” and called for the number to be raised
                         bers of both chambers pledged to wrap up dis-  to 10%. His complaints have been echoed by a
                         cussion and pass the bill before their annual   number of public figures, including represent-
                         recess began on July 16.             atives of host communities in the states of Abia,
                           And this time they succeeded. On July 1, the   Ondo, Edo and Delta and the governors of sev-
                         PIB passed in the third reading in both the Sen-  eral southern states, according to the Nigerian
                         ate and the House of Representatives. Then on   press.
                         July 6, the Senate set up a conference committee   Meanwhile, other observers have offered a
                         to harmonise the two chambers’ versions of the   more measured response. Obo Idornigie, the
                         bill. Once the committee finishes its work, the   vice-president of sub-Saharan African research
                         PIB can be sent to Buhari, who is expected to   for Welligence Energy Analytics, told AfrOil by
                         sign it in the near future.          email earlier this week that it would take time to
                                                              assess the new law’s impact on Nigeria and on
                         Enthusiastic reception               foreign investors as well. “We expect investors,
                         This success has drawn a great deal of positive   particularly the incumbents in joint venture   On July 1, the
                         attention from the African Energy Chamber   partnerships with NNPC [Nigerian National
                         (AEC), an industry association formed to pro-  Petroleum Corp.], to wait and see how the law  PIB passed in the
                         mote the development of the continent’s oil and   unfolds before committing to new joint ven-  third reading in
                         gas resources.                       ture projects,” he wrote, adding: “NNPC’s joint
                           In a statement dated July 1, the chamber said   venture partnerships with the IOCs cover the   both the House of
                         that the passage of the bill would benefit Nigeria   onshore and shallow-water sector.”
                         financially, economically, politically and dip-  One point of interest will be the fate of deep-  Representatives
                         lomatically. “By ensuring an enabling environ-  water offshore projects, Idornigie commented.
                         ment for investors backed by a transparent and   “In the deepwater sector, some of the majors  and the Senate
                         strengthened regulatory framework, the PIB will   have been negotiating licence extensions on
                         present significant investment opportunities for   their deepwater PSCs [production-sharing
                         both regional and international stakeholders,” it   contracts],” he noted. “The PIB permits ongoing
                         commented. “At a time when the global energy   negotiations on contracts to continue provided
                         sector is particularly competitive for foreign   such contracts are signed within one year of the
                         capital, the passing of the PIB serves to elevate   effective date. The extension of these deepwater
                         Nigeria as an energy leader on the global stage.”  licences under reasonable terms will pave the
                           NJ Ayuk, the AEC’s executive chairman,   way for operators to sanction deepwater projects
                         spoke enthusiastically about the PIB, describing   that have been in the pipeline.”
                         it as a long-awaited milestone. “For 13 years, our
                         oil and natural gas industry pushed and waited   NNPC’s fate (and other issues)
                         for this moment. Passing the Petroleum Indus-  Analysts should also pay attention to the unfold-
                         try Bill lays the foundation for a stronger, effi-  ing of plans for the restructuring of NNPC into a
                         cient and attractive energy industry in Nigeria,”   corporation that does not receive direct govern-
                         he remarked.                         ment funding, he added. “The details on how the
                           Ayuk also predicted that the West African   new NNPC structure will work – particularly,
                         country would soon reap the benefits of the new   [on] how all outstanding liabilities will be paid
                         law. “What we must do is make this legislation   – will be of interest,” he said.
                         work for Nigerian companies and foreign com-  When asked whether the restructuring
                         panies in the energy sector,” he said. “I believe   would make NNPC a more effective partner
                         that this bill will make the Nigerian energy sec-  for IOCs, Idornigie responded by noting that
                         tor competitive again and you will see rig counts   “NNPC’s payment of its share of project fund-
                         go up. Nigeria will out-innovate, out-produce   ing through the government has been a huge
                         and out-compete those who counted out or bet   obstacle and has resulted in the IOCs carrying
                         against its oil and natural gas industry.”  NNPC’s costs over the years for a number of big-
                           Ian Simm, principal advisor at consultancy   ticket projects.”



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