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AsiaElec                                      COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec

       India forges closer ties with IEA






       The Indian government has signed a Strategic Partnership Framework with the IEA


        INDIA            INDIA’S concerns over energy security amid  Taking steps
                         international oil price volatility have prompted   India, which became an IEA associate country
       WHAT:             the country to forge closer ties with the Par-  in 2017, is the first such affiliate country to for-
        The two sides will   is-headquartered International Energy Agency  malise its desire to advance ties with the agency.
       collaborate on energy   (IEA).                         Sahai said: “The signing of this agreement reaf-
       security and clean energy   Just a week after remonstrating over Saudi  firms and advances the invaluable relationship
       transitions       Arabia’s decision this month to cut oil produc-  that IEA members and India have. We hope this
                         tion, the Indian government has signed a Strate-  partnership leads to an extensive exchange of
       WHY:              gic Partnership Framework with the IEA, setting  knowledge and can be a stepping stone towards
       India is deeply concerned   the country on a path that could see it become a  India becoming a full member of the IEA.”
       by its exposure to the   member of the group.            IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol, mean-
       international energy   The Indian Ministry of Power’s Secretary,  while, said the IEA was a perfect partner to help
       market.           Sanjiv Nandan Sahai, described the signing as  support India in expanding its energy system.
                         “historic” and said his government would work  He added: “[T]his Strategic Partnership is the
       WHAT NEXT:        with the IEA on key areas, including energy  natural next step for India and the IEA that
        The partnership could   security, clean energy transitions and “co-oper-  could eventually lead to full membership.”
       help India hone its   ation across the full spectrum of IEA activities”.  If India were to graduate as a fully fledged
       long-term energy security   The agreement is the latest sign that India,  member of the IEA it would have to meet cer-
       strategy.         the world’s third-largest energy consumer, has  tain obligations. For example, as part of the IEA
                         grown tired of leaving its energy security inter-  mission to help members insulate against global
                         ests in the hands of OPEC+.          oil crises, each IEA country is expected to main-
                                                              tain an emergency oil stockpile that is equivalent
                         Supply concerns                      to at least 90 days of net oil imports.
                         Indian Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas   In the event of a global oil shock, IEA mem-
                         Dharmendra Pradhan has denounced the Saudi  bers can choose to release their collective stocks
                         decision to cut 1mn barrels per day (bpd) of its  to the market to reduce volatility and give the
                         own crude production in February and March  international community time to respond.
                         even as other members failed to plug the gap.  India has long been concerned by its expo-
                           Pradhan described the move as a “contra-  sure to the oil market, with the country having
                         diction” in talks with OPEC Secretary-Gen-  come to rely on imports to meet more than 80%
                         eral Mohammad Barkindo during the Atlantic  of demand in recent years.
                         Council on January 19. The minister said the   As such, it has taken to developing its stra-
                         policy was “creating confusion for the consum-  tegic petroleum reserve (SPR), having built
                         ing countries”, before adding that OPEC’s deci-  around 10 days of worth of crude oil storage,
                         sion might encourage India and other buyers to  with a further 12 days of capacity under con-
                         embrace alternative energy sources more readily.  struction. The country’s commercial oil storage,
                           Barkindo, however, sought to reassure the  meanwhile, is estimated to be able to hold 65
                         minister that OPEC bore “the interest of con-  days of crude.
                         suming countries in mind” when making its
                         decisions.                           What next
                           Given that India’s oil imports have regained   While India’s membership of the IEA is likely to
                         momentum, hitting a nearly three-year high  be still many years away, the South Asian coun-
                         in December 2020, Pradhan could be forgiven  try still stands to benefit from a closer working
                         for entertaining a certain amount of scepticism  relationship with countries further along the
                         when considering Barkindo’s suggestions.  energy efficiency curve.
                           India’s future as an oil importer is virtu-   If the country struggles to improve its energy
                         ally guaranteed after years of domestic policy  security outlook through domestic oil produc-
                         reforms that have failed to revitalise a tired and  tion, one possible solution could lie in sup-
                         sluggish upstream sector. The country’s explo-  pressing domestic demand through embracing
                         ration and production scene is not a tempting  energy transition.
                         target for foreign investors and little seems to   The IEA has projected that the Indian econ-
                         be changing on this front, despite bold govern-  omy will likely emerge as the engine of global
                         ment targets of reducing the country’s oil import  oil demand growth in the next decade. While it
                         dependency by 10%. New Delhi appears to have  is unlikely New Delhi can derail that train, the
                         realised that its chances of reversing the slow but  government is looking for ways to improving the
                         steady decline in oil production are scant and has  country’s energy systems wherever it can. The
                         begun to look for answers to its energy security  Strategic Partnership with the IEA represents
                         questions beyond simply counting on a domestic  one possible solution. ™
                         upstream revival.



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