Page 11 - AsiaElec Week 24 2021
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AsiaElec                                     RENEWABLES                                             AsiaElec


       China’s NDRC confirms end




       to some green subsidies




        CHINA            CHINA’S National Development and Reform   China is at the centre of global renewable
                         Commission (NDRC) is planning to end sub-  demand and supply, accounting for around 40%
                         sidies for some new onshore wind projects,  of global renewable capacity growth for several
                         concentrated solar power (CSP) schemes and  years, the International Energy Agency (IEA)
                         distributed solar PV projects for commercial use.  said.
                           The country’s influential planning body said   In 2020, China’s share rose to 50% for the first
                         that the falling costs meant that renewables could  time due to a rush to complete projects before
                         now compete price-wise with coal-fired electric-  government subsidies were phased out.
                         ity, making subsidies unnecessary, S&P Global   In 2021-22, renewables growth in China is
                         Platts reported.                     set to stabilise at levels that are below the 2020
                           An end to support for some green projects  record but still over 50% above where it was dur-
                         will also reduce the subsidy burden for the cen-  ing the 2017-19 period.
                         tral government, which has fallen behind in sub-  In recent years private capital, which poured
                         sidiary payments in recent years.    funding into the renewables space in China, has
                           The decision means that electricity generated  been hurt by delayed subsidy payments, pushing
                         from these green projects will be sold at either  more and more of the industry to become con-
                         local benchmark prices, which are set compared  centrated with state-owned enterprises (SOEs).
                         to coal-fired power, or at market prices, the   Wu Yuehao, associate director for Infra-
                         NDRC said. Participation in electricity trading  structure Ratings at S&P Global Ratings, said
                         will be voluntary.                   the state-owned power developers “will have to
                           New projects currently in the pipeline will  think hard about how they could enlarge their
                         also not receive subsidies.          assets without impacting their leverage that
                           However, the NDRC said that it wanted pro-  much” as the subsidy regime gets phased out at a
                         vincial governments to develop local support  time when their decarbonisation targets are only
                         systems for renewable projects to ensure that  getting tougher.
                         wind and solar development for both residen-  “Remember five generation groups (Big 5)
                         tial and commercial use still develop in a stable  have about 45%-55% of the national power gen-
                         manner.                              eration share. Given the carbon policy by Presi-
                           For example, the NDRC said provincial gov-  dent Xi, it’s naturally obliging them to make the
                         ernments could now set prices for offshore wind  shift to make the overarching goal a reality,” she
                         projects and solar thermal power generation  said.
                         projects.                              For renewables equipment producers, it’s
                           Delayed subsidy payments resulted in arrears  a mixed picture with the central subsidy gone,
                         of over CNY300bn ($46bn) at the end of 2019,  as project developers will have to push for more
                         according to Ratings’ report in April.  reasonable equipment prices, but the demand
                           The report also said the levelised cost for coal-  will compete with limited supply, Wu said, add-
                         fired electricity in China now ranges from $50-  ing that the commodity super-cycle is partially
                         66 per MWh, while it is highly competitive with  caused by decarbonisation efforts as lots of wind
                         $41-62 per MWh for onshore wind, and $29-59  and solar farms are waiting to be built.™
                         per MWh for solar (fixed-axis photovoltaic).



























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