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AfrOil                                        COMMENTARY                                               AfrOil
















































                                                                                 Site visit to NNPC depot on February 10 (Photo: NNPC)

       Gasoline shortages and





       unexpected consequences






       Nigeria’s bid to avoid labour unrest, consumer discontent by preserving gasoline subsidy backfires




                         NIGERIA’S presidential administration recently   Buhari and his supporters in the Senate to decide
                         managed to avert a confrontation with labour   in late January that subsidies would remain in
       WHAT:             unions by abandoning its plans to eliminate sub-  place indefinitely rather than being eliminated
       Gasoline shortages   sidies for domestic gasoline prices.  in mid-2022 as previously announced. This
       emerged after the arrival   These subsidies do represent a huge finan-  move allowed the country to defuse the threat
       of contaminated imports.  cial burden, as they have reportedly been cost-  of a nationwide strike by an umbrella organisa-
                         ing Abuja about NGN243bn ($584mn) each   tions representing many of the country’s labour
       WHY:              month, or nearly NGN3 trillion ($7.21bn) per   unions.
       The supply disruptions   year. However, they are politically popular, as   As such, the Buhari administration should
       follow disputes over the   they keep gasoline prices far below world mar-  have been able to breathe a sigh of relief, secure
       fate of gasoline subsidies.
                         ket levels.                          in its knowledge that it was not about to see cit-
                           As such, the federal government has been   izens take to the streets to complain about the
       WHAT NEXT:        reluctant to commit to scrapping them, as rec-  cost of gasoline. But it has not managed to do
       Abuja is now facing
       problems similar to those   ommended by international financial institu-  that. Instead, it has had to address a different
       it was trying to avoid.  tions (IFIs) such as the World Bank.  problem in the downstream sector – a supply
                           That reluctance led President Muhammadu   crunch.


       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                       Week 07   16•February•2022
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