Page 9 - TURKRptSep21

2.2 Afghanistan
The year of 2011 brought the Arab Spring and wars in Syria and Libya. These events can be linked to Turkey’s subsequent descent into a political and economic hell.
Ten years earlier, in 2001, there were the convulsions in Afghanistan after 9/11, then in 2003 there was the invasion of Iraq. As a result, Turkey got landed with the Justice and Development Party (AKP) regime.
In 2021, we are back with the nightmare that is Afghanistan, but this time things look much more serious than they were two decades ago.
Some groups gathered in the Panjshir valley north of Kabul have already more or less declared war against the Taliban. They have called on the West to support them. They are also in talks with the Taliban. Whatever eventuates, some groups in Afghanistan will fight each other. These groups are not well-ordered modern structures. They can be divided and can switch sides, but in the end they do not know anything but war.
There is talk that China and Russia will support the Taliban. All members of the Moscow mafiosi gang that rules the current version of the Russian empire were on the payroll of the KGB when the Soviet version of the Russian empire collapsed in Afghanistan. So, under normal conditions, they will not fall into the trap a second time.
For the neoliberal oligarchy in Beijing, if the US manages to trap them in Afghanistan having gotten rid of the Soviets that became enmeshed there, it will be an interesting success story for the history books.
The US’ China problem is actually very much down to China’s use of de facto slaves. It is not possible to compete with China in manufacturing. And keeping the China problem in the military sphere will only serve China, something Beijing is well aware of.
This is a win-win for China and its iron-hearted deployment of neoliberalism, while the US will continue to slide from its throne where it sits as the global hegemon.
Donald Trump attempted to confront the real China problem. He lost. It’s not easy because China also allows the Western multinationals to use its slaves. So, the Biden administration was cast in the role of keeping the China problem on military ground.
Having big wars surrounding China will also help sagging global capitalism find new fields of growth.
What to watch for now?
- The golden rule regarding Afghanistan is that whoever crosses the Afghan border loses. China is, amid the ongoing mayhem, being encouraged to take this step. Under normal conditions, the oligarchy in Beijing would not fall into this trap, but history is so often made up of fools and their mistakes.
- The friendship choices of the Chinese regime could also push the country onto the battleground.
- Domestic clashes will definitely not come to a stop in Afghanistan. Who will fight whom is not so important compared to which external power will support which domestic group. Tremendously important is that Afghanistan will now be the global centre for war and jihadism, replacing the Syria and Libya of the
9 TURKEY Country Report September 2021 www.intellinews.com