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AfrOil                                        COMMENTARY                                               AfrOil





















                                                                                   (Photo: Egypt Cranes)

                         Naturgy will receive a series of cash payments   months.
                         worth $600mn in total. Once these are paid, it   Eni said the agreement had come “at an
       WHAT:             will leave Egypt and end its venture with Eni.  important moment.” Thanks to the Italian
       OPEC+ has agreed to   Eni will also assume responsibility over the   major’s fast-tracked gas projects like Zohr and
       ease production cuts   contract for purchasing gas for Damietta LNG   Nooros, “Egypt has regained its full capacity
       by 500,000 bpd from   and have rights to half of its liquefaction capac-  to meet domestic gas demand and can allocate
       January 1.        ity. Damietta LNG should start back up in the   surplus production for export through its LNG
                         first quarter of 2021, the Italian major said. Eni   plants,” it said.
       WHY:              will also take over UFG’s marketing of gas in   Eni is looking to build up its LNG business,
       Members had been   Spain, expanding its position in the European   viewing the fuel as having stronger long-term
       pushing to reduce the   market.                        growth potential than oil. It also sees gas playing
       cuts, while kingpin Saudi
       Arabia had proposed an                                 a key role in the energy transition. By contrast,
       extension of the 7.7mn   Supply surplus                Naturgy president Francisco Reynes welcomed   Now that it is
       bpd reductions for three   The legal dispute at Damietta was over compen-  the deal, saying it would simplify and reduce
       further months.   sation due to the operators after the plant was   “the company’s exposure to gas.”  self-sufficient in
                         idled in 2012. At the time, Egypt was running   Naturgy will be freed from a 3.5 bcm annual   gas, Egypt wants
       WHAT NEXT:        short of gas for the domestic market, and there-  gas procurement contract to supply its com-
       The group will meet   fore diverted some from its export stream. UFG   bined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plant in Spain,   the fuel to play a
       monthly to assess moves   was awarded $2bn by the World Bank’s Inter-  due to continue until the end of 2029, Reynes
       to further ease the output   national Centre for Settlement of Investment   said. Furthermore, the deal “resolves a com-  large role in its
       restrictions.     Dispute (ICSID) in compensation for Egypt’s   plex situation lingering since 2012 and which
                         actions.                             couldn’t be resolved in the spring because of the   economy
                           The Egyptian gas market is now very differ-  pandemic.”
                         ent to what it was back then. The country now
                         enjoys a surplus of supply thanks to the 2017   Home use
                         launch of the giant Eni-operated Zohr field in   Now that it is self-sufficient, Egypt also wants the
                         the Mediterranean. Several more large gas fields   fuel to play a large role in its economy.
                         have been discovered by Eni and others since   Petroleum Minister Tarek El Molla reported
                         then, ensuring that a surplus will remain for   last month on Egypt’s progress in expanding the
                         some time.                           use of gas. The country has converted all its ther-
                           Damietta’s relaunch was anticipated sooner,   mal power plants (TPPs) to run on the fuel and
                         but was held up because of delays in settlement   has also begun a programme to increase use by
                         proceedings. The project partners managed to   households and in the transport sector, he said.
                         reach a deal in February but it collapsed two   Some 5mn households have been hooked up
                         months later after certain terms were not met.   to receive gas in the past six years, while there
                         According to reports, coronavirus (COVID-  are now 330,000 vehicles on the road that run on
                         19) restrictions meant workers could not go in   compressed natural gas (CNG), serviced by 215
                         and inspect the plant. And the slump in global   CNG filling stations. The government aims to
                         gas prices triggered by the pandemic led to the   convert a further 260,000 vehicles by 2023, while
                         asset’s devaluation.                 bringing the number of filling stations to 600.
                           Egyptian gas production rose 12.4% year on   Eventually it wants to see 1.3mn converted cars
                         year to a record 7.2bn cubic feet per day in the   on the road, with the main focus being vehicles
                         12 months ending June 30, or 9.3 bcm in total,   over 20 years old.
                         according to Egypt’s petroleum ministry. Egypt   The government has subsidised the cost of
                         has another LNG export terminal in Idku, but   vehicle conversions. Egyptians have also seen
                         the country was among several spot LNG   steep hikes in prices for gasoline and diesel since
                         exporters that were forced to curtail production   2014 as a result of IMF-backed reforms, encour-
                         this year because of low prices.     aging them to switch. Not only is CNG cheaper,
                           Global LNG prices are now recovering, how-  but it is also cleaner than more conventional
                         ever, and in late October, the 7.2mn tpy Idku   fuels, and its expanded use should help improve
                         plant loaded its first export cargo in over three   pollution levels in Egypt’s largest cities. ™



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