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AfrElec                                        COMMENTARY                                             AfrElec




       Global wind bounces back,





       but needs faster expansion





       to meet climate goals





        GLOBAL           THE global wind sector has bounced back  located in China (5.7 GW).
                         strongly since the initial months of the corona-  What this means is that governments
                         virus (COVID-19) pandemic.           announced that capacity is up for auction, but
                           The global offshore wind industry installed  that some of it has still to be awarded to bidders.
                         6.1 GW of capacity in 2020, down slightly from   Offshore wind outpaced onshore during 2Q,
                         a record 6.24 GW in 2019, the Global Wind  reflecting current auction trends worldwide.
                         Energy Council (GWEC) said in its Global Off-  Poland emerged as the world leader between
                         shore Wind Report 2021.              April and June, awarding 5.9 GW, followed by
                           China led the world in new onshore instal-  the US with 2.7 GW and Japan with 16.8 MW.
                         lations for the third year in a row with more   Onshore, 4.2 GW of new wind capacity
                         than 3 GW of offshore wind grid connected in  was awarded globally in Q2 2021, led by China
                         2020. Steady growth in Europe accounted for the  (nearly 50%), followed by Germany (42%),
                         majority of remaining new capacity, led by the  Poland (7%) and Italy (1%).
                         Netherlands, which installed nearly 1.5 GW of
                         new offshore wind in 2020, followed by Belgium  Europe
                         (706 MW).                            In Europe, a total of 2.1 GW of onshore wind
                           The 2020 total of 6.1 GW was slightly below  capacity was awarded in the second quarter of
                         GWEC’s prediction of 6.6 GW made in its 2020  this year through auctions in Germany, Poland
                         Global Offshore Wind Report a year ago.  and Italy.
                           GWEC expects a new record year in 2021, as   All these auctions were undersubscribed,
                         China’s offshore wind sector rushes to install 7.5  which indicates developers’ hesitancy to par-
                         GW ahead of the expiry of current feed-in tariffs  ticipate. This is primarily due to the so-called
                         (FITs).                              10H Distance Rule in Poland, which hampers
                           Meanwhile, taking the wind sector, both  onshore wind project development, as well as
                         onshore and offshore, as a whole, capacity  the persisting permitting issues in Germany and
                         awards in 2Q 2021 reached 12.78 GW, almost  Italy.
                         six times higher than the 2.17 GW awarded in   In addition, the full capacity from the third
                         2Q 2020. Additions also rose by 82% from 7 GW  joint solar-wind 350-MW tender in Greece,
                         in 1Q 2021.                          launched in May, was awarded to solar.
                           The rapid rise was the result of capacity auc-  The European offshore wind sector achieved
                         tions in both mature and emerging wind mar-  great progress in Q2 2021. Following the first
                         kets being postponed to 3Q 2020 because of the  Offshore Wind Act passed in January 2021,
                         pandemic, the GWEC said in its separate Q2  Poland awarded the first phase of offshore wind
                         2021 Wind Energy Auction Update.     projects of 5.9-GW capacity by 30 June, 2021
                                                              through its contract for difference (CfD) scheme,
                         Auctions schedule                    with financial support of €22.5bn coming from
                         The Q2 2021 Wind Energy Auction Update  the European Commission.
                         found that auction schedules were severely   In April 2021, France announced the first
                         affected by the COVID-19 pandemic in the first  commercial floating offshore wind auction for
                         two quarters of 2020. Green recovery stimulus  a 250-MW project in the Atlantic Ocean south
                         packages and efforts by governments to achieve  of Brittany, announced under the country’s
                         wind targets also pushed up awards in 2021.  Multiannual Energy Programme (PPE), with
                           Meanwhile, a total of 1.85 GW of new auc-  the deadline for parties to express their interest
                         tioned capacity was announced globally during  closing on 19 July, 2021.
                         Q2 2021, of which 250 MW stands unawarded as
                         of September 2021.                   Asia and the Americas
                           Of the 14.2-GW auction capacity announced  In Asia, China was the only country that
                         in Q1 2021, almost 6 GW of its capacity remains  awarded onshore wind auctions in Q2 2021. All
                         to be awarded in the second half of 2021, mostly  of the 2.1 GW approved and awarded onshore




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