Page 5 - GLNG Week 13 2021
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GLNG                                         COMMENTARY                                               GLNG








































                         wreak a certain amount of havoc in the region.  construction, Total has evacuated more staff
                         Since ASWJ functions as the local arm of the ter-  members and scaled back operations once
                         rorist group known as Islamic State (Daesh), its  again. Instead of remaining secure within the
                         clash with FADM has wider geopolitical impli-  perimeter marked out by Mozambique’s govern-
                         cations. It could also spur diplomatic tensions  ment, it has seen ASWJ ambush hotels in Palma
                         between Mozambique and neighbouring states,  where some of its employees were taking shelter.
                         some of which have already expressed concern  Additionally, rather than working to keep itself
                         about the possibility that refugees from Cabo  out of the fray, it has heard Mozambican offi-
                         Delgado may cross into their territory.  cials such as Omar Saranga, a spokesman for the
                                                              Ministry of Defence, inform the public that the
                         Another ramp-down                    Islamists are deliberately and specifically target-
                         These considerations are serious enough on  ing gas projects.
                         their own. But they look even more serious in
                         light of the large-scale investments contemplated  Lessons to be learned
                         by Mozambique LNG and the other consortia –  Mozambique’s government is seeking help
                         and in light of the fact that ASWJ is now openly  from the international community, in that it has
                         targeting project sites.             moved beyond working with foreign security
                           In recent months, the Islamist group’s troops  contractors with unsavoury reputations such as   ASWJ may very
                         have been moving closer and closer to the com-  South Africa’s Dyck Advisory Group (DAG). It
                         plex that Mozambique LNG is building on the  has accepted Portugal’s offer of military training   well step up
                         Afungi Peninsula. Last August, they forced Total  and has brought US military advisors and spe-  attacks on
                         to stop using the port of Mocimboa da Praia as  cial forces into the country for counter-terrorism
                         its main delivery point for equipment needed  training.                   Mozambique LNG
                         to build the LNG plant. Last November and   Even so, ASWJ has seen that attacks on gas
                         December, they staged a series of attacks that  installations get results. They may not lead  facilities in the
                         led the French company to ramp down opera-  to clear territorial gains, but they do attract a
                         tions and evacuate thousands of workers from  great deal of attention (and they may also be   near term.
                         its onshore construction site in January.  encouraging Islamic State loyalists to travel to
                           These events have thus far not deterred Total.  Mozambique). Additionally, they bring FADM
                         The French major has remained committed to  troops to Cabo Delgado, thereby exacerbating
                         resuming work and has been in negotiations  long-standing tensions between the province
                         with Mozambican authorities on the establish-  and the central government while creating even
                         ment of a security perimeter in the area. These  more disorder.
                         talks appear to have been fruitful, and Total was   As such, ASWJ may very well step up attacks
                         indicating before March 24 that it intended to  on Mozambique LNG facilities in the near
                         resume work before the end of the month.  term. Officials in Maputo will therefore have to
                           However, these hopes have now been dashed.  demonstrate their commitment to turning the
                         Rather than returning workers to the Afungi  tide in order to reassure Total – and the other
                         Peninsula site and stepping up the pace of  investors that hope to learn from its example.™



       Week 13   01•April•2021                  www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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