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AfrElec                                       COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec




       New hope for GERD talks, but





       differences are still deep






       Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan have embarked on a fresh round of GERD talks. Initial reaction is
       positive, but there are entrenched differences to overcome, writes Richard Lockhart




        ETHIOPIA         ETHIOPIA, Egypt and Sudan are confident that   Meanwhile, a statement issued by the Ethi-
                         renewed talks on the GERD project could pave  opian Prime Minister stressed Ethiopia’s com-
       WHAT:             the way for a future agreement on filling the  mitment to continued equitable and reasonable
       The African Union is   project’s reservoir and operating the 6,475-MW  utilisation of the Blue Nile Waters, without sig-
       sponsoring renewed talks  hydropower plant (HPP).      nificant harm to Sudan and Egypt.
                           Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali   “Ethiopia is committed to a balanced and
       WHY:              said on July 21 that he had held a “fruitful meet-  win-win negotiation that ascertains the Blue Nile
       Africa is keen to find an   ing” on the $4bn Grand Ethiopian Renaissance  will benefit all the three countries,” the statement
       African solution to African   Dam (GERD) project, organised by South Afri-  read.
       problems          can President Cyril Ramaphosa and the African   The PM said that the talks begun on July 21
                         Union.                               had concluded with “all parties reaching a major
       WHAT NEXT:          Ahmed Ali said that after talks with Egyptian  common understanding which paves the way for
       All parties have agreed   President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi and Sudanese  a breakthrough agreement. Ethiopia, Egypt and
       to continue technical   President Abdalla Hamdok, they had agreed  Sudan agreed for further technical discussions
       discussions on the dam  to continue technical discussions on filling the  on the filling to continue in the African Union-
                         dam.                                 led process and [to] proceed to a comprehensive
                           This is a major breakthrough, as previous  agreement.”
                         talks, sponsored by the African Union and the
                         US government, had broken down.      Access to power
                           “Our utilisation of the Nile waters creates an  The talks are taking place as water levels at the
                         opportunity to further strengthen cross-border  GERD dam have risen in the last two weeks.
                         relations among neighbouring countries and   Ethiopia said that high seasonal rainfall had
                         will not be a source of mistrust and unfair com-  raised water levels naturally to a level that pro-
                         petition,” said Ethiopian President Sahle-Work  vides the 4.9bn cubic metres of water movement
                         Zewde.                               required to operate the dam’s first two turbines.
                           However, the Egyptians were less positive,   Ethiopia has built the project, using domestic
                         with Egyptian negotiator Alaa Al-Zawahary tell-  capital as well as some Chinese cash, in a bid to
                         ing domestic news that Cairo was still worried  extend access to power to the 11mn Ethiopians
                         about water levels in the Nile, especially during  that have none, and to drive forward the econ-
                         periods of drought.                  omy. Put simply, Addis Ababa says that it needs





























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