Page 13 - AsiaElec Week 34 2022
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AsiaElec                                          COAL                                              AsiaElec




       Chinese imports of Russian





       coal hit five-year high







        SOUTH KOREA      JULY saw imports of Russian coal by China hit   Projections from some in China now point
                         a five year high, well up from the 6.12mn tonnes  towards Russian imports through the end of
                         imported during June, and reaching over 7.4mn  the third quarter increasing further as Chinese
                         tonnes by the end of the month.      utilities, particularly in the north of the country,
                           And with the ongoing heatwave continuing  look to stockpile coal ahead of increased demand
                         to draw heavily on regional utilities across many  for electricity during the often sub-zero winter
                         nations in East Asia, China’s reliance on dis-  months.
                         counted Russian coal shows no signs of abating   Despite the increase in numbers relating to
                         any time soon.                       Russian coal imports, overall China has started
                           Western nations have effectively now been  to reduce its dependency on imports of coal
                         banned from importing Russian coal since  in recent months as the central government in
                         August 11 on the back of legislation aimed at  Beijing continues to exert pressure on domestic
                         punishing Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine.  mines to increase output.
                           A long time coming, Russia responded to the   Even imports of Indonesian coal throughout
                         anticipated ban earlier in the summer by offer-  July, whilst bucking the overall downward trend
                         ing coal at large discounts. This was particularly  in the short term at least, have fallen drastically
                         well received by large-scale Asian buyers, most  year on year.
                         notably China and India, with India even now   Indonesian coal imported by China is in the
                         continuing to face pressure from the West to join  main made up of lower quality and thus cheaper
                         sanctions against Moscow and end Russian coal  thermal coal than that found in neighbouring
                         and oil imports.                     Australia. Correspondingly, Indonesian coal
                           As a result, this has seen both Beijing and  runs at a heating value of below 3,800 kilocal-
                         New Delhi offered Russian thermal coal for  ories (kcal) compared to just over 5,000 kcal for
                         prices as low as $150 per tonne using a cost and  both Australian and Russian thermal coal.
                         freight basis compared to similar quality Aus-  Total July exports, released by the Trade Min-
                         tralian coal still costing $210 per tonne, albeit  istry in Jakarta, headed to China amounted to
                         using a free on board (FOB) basis.   11.7mn tonnes;  a figure up 22% on the month
                           Subsequently, the most recent data released  prior, but down by around 40% on the same
                         by China’s General Administration of Customs  month in 2021.
                         (GAC) late last week indicated that the 7.42mn   Prices for Indonesian coal in recent weeks
                         tonnes brought during July was the largest  have been floating around the $78 per tonne
                         amount imported since record keeping began  level using an FOB basis, a figure considerably
                         in 2017.                             lower than costs per tonne for even domestically
                           The previous high is understood to have been  mined Chinese coal at around $101 per tonne,
                         just under 1mn tonnes lower at 6.49mn tonnes,  including shipping.
                         in July 2021.                          Reports from China now say this price differ-
                           During the same July 2022 time-frame, the  ence has seen a growing number of power plants
                         Chinese authority’s data listed no imports as hav-  across the south of the country start to increase
                         ing arrived from Australia. With long-standing  tenders for Indonesian coal imports through
                         political stand-offs between Beijing and Can-  August to help offset ongoing record power
                         berra now starting to thaw, though, this could  demands as temperatures across much of East
                         change as Chinese utilities looks towards the  Asia continue to break records.™
                         winter.


















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